
Will Barack Obama use his middle name when taking the oath of office?
Barack Hussein Obama
Background:>
Category Editor Clarification
This market will only settle as YES if he uses his middle name Hussein, if he shortens to H or omits it all together, then that would be a NO settlement.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
- Activity: H$225,187 |
- Predictions: 561 |
Comments: 42
Suspend date: Mon 19th Jan 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 20th Jan 11:14am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 19th Jan 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%
Action history:
"Obama to take oath using all three names".
http://www.mlive.com/us-politics/index.ssf/2008/12/obama_to_take_oath_using_all_t.html (market suspended)
He did use his middle name.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/27721638/
Suspend date: Mon 19th Jan 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 20th Jan 11:14am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 19th Jan 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details
Predictions (561)
Comments (42)
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...perhaps because for someone so wonderful, so full of poise and confidence, so proud of their story, so inspiring yet so reluctant to be addressed by their entire name, it just seems.... odd.
http://www.templestudy.com/2008/02/18/the-presidents-oath-of-office/
This market was suspended by one of our super users who suspended the market when the media reported that Obama was planning on using his middle name during the ceremony. I received the flag that the market was suspended and thought I took the necessary action to unsuspend the market, as I am going to let this market go until the actual event occurs, however after seeing your comment I realized I did not unsuspend the market and for that I am sorry. So to sum it up, I screwed up and didn't unsuspend market when I thought I did. I am unsuspending market now and will only settle after the event takes place.
This way we can allocate our finite resources where they can best be used. Had this question remained suspended until the inauguration, everyone would have their H$ tied up until then. Now, someone who predicted yes can cash in at 85% if they have a better opportunity elsewhere, or they can keep it invested here if THEY decide to, not the person who jumps to suspend the question.
Love Obama
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5iydOFwQjRIlNE0a-DhN1unl498lgD95L158O0
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/2009/01/11/2009-01-11_what_the_h_presidentelect_barack_obamas_.html
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