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Presidential Inauguration: What will be the temperature at noon as recorded by NWS?

Settled as 25 to less than 30 degrees

28.9 degrees at 11:52pm Eastern as reported: http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KDCA.html

Background:

Background: What is Normal Weather for January Inauguration?

* Normal high temperature for the day is in the low to mid 40�s.
* Normal low temperature for the day is in the mid to upper 20�s.
* Normal weather for the noon hour is about 37� under a partly cloudy sky with a 10 mph wind.
* There is about a 1 in 6 chance of precipitation during the ceremony.
* There is only about a 1 in 20 chance of snow during the ceremony.
* If it does rain or snow, there is a 4 to 1 chance it will only wet the pavement.
* There is about a 3 out of 10 chance that there will be snow already on the ground from a previous snowfall.

2005 George W. Bush 35�F Mostly cloudy with some sunny breaks. Northwest wind 14 mph. Around 1" of snow lay on the ground.
2001 George W. Bush 36�F Fog - visibility 2 miles. North wind 12 mph. Light snow (0.3") in the evening.
1997 William Jefferson Clinton 34�F It was partly sunny with a high overcast. Winds were from the south at 7 mph.
1993 William Jefferson Clinton 40�F It was sunny and pleasant.
1989 George Bush 51�F It was mostly cloudy, mild and breezy.
1985 Ronald Reagan 7�F It was sunny, but bitter cold. Wind chill temperatures fell into the -10� to -20�F range in the afternoon.
1981 Ronald Reagan 55�F It was mostly cloudy and mild.
1977 Jimmy Carter 28�F It was cold and sunny. The wind chill temperature was in the teens.
1973 Richard Nixon 42�F It was cloudy and windy.
1969 Richard Nixon 35�F It was cloudy with rain and sleet later in the day.
1965 Lyndon B. Johnson 38�F Skies were cloudy and one inch of snow lay on the ground.
1961 John F. Kennedy 22�F Snow into the early morning left 8 inches on the ground. It was sunny but cold the rest of the day.
1957 Dwight D. Eisenhower 44�F Jan. 21: Light snow in the early morning. Cloudy skies with a few flurries in the mid afternoon.
1953 Dwight D. Eisenhower 49�F Cloudy skies.
1949 Harry S. Truman 38�F Mostly sunny and windy.
1945 Franklin D. Roosevelt 35�F Light snow ended around 9 a.m. that morning. Cloudy skies.
1941 Franklin D. Roosevelt 29�F Sunny, but cold with a brisk wind. Wind chill 10�F.
1937 Franklin D. Roosevelt 33�F Cold with heavy rainy. Between 11 am and 1 pm, 0.69 inches of rain fell. Some sleet and freezing rain fell in the morning.

Settlement details:As reported by the National Weather Service. All Temperatures are in Fahrenheit

 
Forecast history %
Less than 10 degrees
0%
10 to less than 15 degrees
0%
15 to less than 20 degrees
1%
20 to less than 25 degrees
4%
25 to less than 30 degrees
59%
30 to less than 35 degrees
33%
35 to less than 40 degrees
2%
40 to less than 45 degrees
0%
45 to less than 50 degrees
0%
50 degrees or more
0%
Settled as 25 to less than 30 degrees on Tue 20th Jan 12:09pm PST

Suspend date: Mon 19th Jan 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 20th Jan 12:09pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 19th Jan 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than 10 degrees : 5%, 10 to less than 15 degrees: 5%, 15 to less than 20 degrees: 5%, 20 to less than 25 degrees: 10%, 25 to less than 30 degrees: 10%, 30 to less than 35 degrees: 15%, 35 to less than 40 degrees: 20%, 40 to less than 45 degrees: 15%, 45 to less than 50 degrees: 10%, 50 degrees or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 8th Nov 2008 4:26pm PST by destry[Admin]
Changed Description Sat 8th Nov 2008 4:34pm PST by destry[Admin]: show details
... Normal Weather for January Inauguration? <?<br/> <br/> * Normal high temperature ... the low to mid 40&#65533;�s. <.<br/> * Normal low temperature for ... the mid to upper 20&#65533;�s. <.<br/> * Normal weather for the noon hour is about 37&#65533; � under a partly cloudy sky with a 10 mph wind. <.<br/> * There is about a ... of precipitation during the ceremony. <.<br/> * There is only about ... of snow during the ceremony. <.<br/> * If it does rain ... will only wet the pavement. <.<br/> * There is about a ... ground from a previous snowfall. <.<br/> Year President Noon <br/> Temp. Remarks </> <br/> 2005 George W. Bush 35&#65533;�F Mostly cloudy with some ... snow lay on the ground. <.<br/> 2001 George W. Bush 36&#65533;�F Fog - visibility 2 miles. ... (0.3") in the evening. <.<br/> <br/> 1997 <<br/> William Jefferson Clinton 34&#65533;�F It was partly sunny ... the south at 7 mph. <.<br/> 1993 William Jefferson Clinton 40&#65533;�F It was sunny and pleasant. <.<br/> 1989 George Bush 51&#65533;�F It was mostly cloudy, mild and breezy. <.<br/> 1985 Ronald Reagan 7&#65533;�F It was sunny, but ... temperatures fell into the -10&#65533; � to -20&#65533;�F range in the afternoon. <.<br/> 1981 Ronald Reagan 55&#65533;�F It was mostly cloudy and mild. <.<br/> 1977 Jimmy Carter 28&#65533;�F It was cold and ... temperature was in the teens. <.<br/> 1973 Richard Nixon 42&#65533;�F It was cloudy and windy. <.<br/> 1969 Richard Nixon 35&#65533;�F It was cloudy with ... sleet later in the day. <.<br/> 1965 Lyndon B. Johnson 38&#65533;�F Skies were cloudy and ... snow lay on the ground. <.<br/> 1961 John F. Kennedy 22&#65533;�F Snow into the early ... the rest of the day. <.<br/> 1957 Dwight D. Eisenhower 44&#65533;�F Jan. 21: Light snow ... flurries in the mid afternoon. <.<br/> 1953 Dwight D. Eisenhower 49&#65533;�F Cloudy skies. <.<br/> 1949 Harry S. Truman 38&#65533;�F Mostly sunny and windy. <.<br/> 1945 Franklin D. Roosevelt 35&#65533;�F Light snow ended around ... .m. that morning. Cloudy skies. <.<br/> 1941 Franklin D. Roosevelt 29&#65533;�F Sunny, but cold with ... brisk wind. Wind chill 10&#65533;�F. <.<br/> 1937 Franklin D. Roosevelt 33&#65533;�F Cold with heavy rainy.
Suspended Mon 19th Jan 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 20th Jan 10:24am PST by conspiracy2riot: Based on this page it appears it was 28 degrees at 11:52am EST.

http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/city.html?n=263


* Time/General
* Weather
* Time zone
* DST
* Sun & Moon

Washington DC, District of Columbia, United States
Washington DC is the capital of United States
Current Time Tuesday, January 20, 2009 at 1:23:22 PM EST
Show clock in pop-up window or full-screen window
Free Washington DC clock for your website
UTC/GMT Offset
Standard time zone: UTC/GMT -5 hours
No daylight saving time at the moment
Time zone abbreviation: EST - Eastern Standard Time
Daylight
Saving
Time DST starts on Sunday, March 8, 2009 at 2:00 AM local standard time
DST ends on Sunday, November 1, 2009 at 2:00 AM local daylight time
See time changes/daylight saving time in other years
Holidays Tuesday, January 20: Inauguration Day (today)
Weather
Overcast. Chilly. 28 °F
Overcast. Chilly.
Change to Celsius
Current conditions (Reagan National Airport)
Description: Overcast. Chilly.
Temperature: 28 °F Comfort Level: 10 °F
Wind: 13 mph from 340° NorthnorthwestWind blowing from Northnorthwest to South-southeast
Last update: Tue 11:52 AM EST
Settled as '25 to less than 30 degrees' Tue 20th Jan 12:09pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: 28.9 degrees at 11:52pm Eastern as reported: http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KDCA.html

Suspend date: Mon 19th Jan 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 20th Jan 12:09pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 19th Jan 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (173)

43 weeks ago
felix predicted 25 to less than 30 degrees (H$400 at 57%)
43 weeks ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted 25 to less than 30 degrees (H$750 at 60%)
43 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted 30 to less than 35 degrees (H$60 at 35%)
43 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted 25 to less than 30 degrees (H$100 at 57%)
43 weeks ago
wabash predicted 25 to less than 30 degrees (H$100 at 56%)

Comments (2)

Sorry Destry! Again I prove my inability with hand to eye, eye to brain coordination and declined this question when i meant to click it and bet.
So now I have....
DC is funny ...I've been there ( i protest ALOT) in january and have had freezing cold with lots of rain one day and really warm and sunny the next.

You just never know.
posted 1 year ago
Well this bet paid off in spades. Wish I'd bet all my money here.

You know, I heard it was just as cold at Bush's farewell bash, Sunday night ....
posted 43 weeks ago

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