Created Sun 9th Nov 2008 8:20am PST by

Will Arnold Schwarzenegger be President Obama's Energy Secretary?

Settled as No

Background: Arnold Schwarzenegger "terms out" as California governor in 2010. I'm really not certain how long it will take to have all the Cabinet secretaries appointed so this suspend date could be off.

http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/69788/Arnie-Schwarzenegger-may-be-Obama-s-Energy-Secretary

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/07/13/schwarzenegger-ill-be-obamas-energy-czar/

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/30/arnold-schwarzenegger-sec_n_139518.html

http://www.reuters.com/article/vcCandidateFeed2/idUSTRE4A4AX120081105

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/11/08/MNUQ14092Q.DTL&tsp=1

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

92%

Settled as No on Tue 16th Dec 2008 6:13pm PST

Activity: H$78,034
Predictions: 136
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Mon 16th Feb 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 16th Dec 2008 6:13pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 15th Dec 2008 2pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Sun 9th Nov 2008 8:20am PST by

capecodviking [Power User]

Changed Question text Sun 9th Nov 2008 3:22pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: ... be President Obama's Energy Secretary?

Settlement requested Tue 16th Dec 2008 6:12pm PST by

raidersin09 Level 14, Prophet (H$102,889)

: Steven Chu has been picked.

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/12/10/obama_selects_nobel_winner_chu.html?hpid=topnews

Can't this be settled now or do we have to wait til Senate confirmation??

Settled as 'No' Tue 16th Dec 2008 6:13pm PST by

destry [Admin]

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Predictions (136)

48 weeks ago

athex

predicted No (H$50 at 94%)

49 weeks ago

curios predicted No (H$2,000 at 93%)

49 weeks ago

athex

predicted No (H$48 at 93%)

50 weeks ago

spacemonkey1229 Level 8, Super-Pro (H$7,183)

predicted No (H$20 at 88%)

50 weeks ago

keyeshoveden [Power User]

predicted No (H$4,000 at 87%)

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