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F1: Where will the 2009 Driver's World Championship be settled?

Current forecast: Abu Dhabi (1st Nov) (48% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Abu Dhabi (1st Nov) with a probability of 48% (unchanged in last 1 day)

In recent years the World Championship has gone down to the wire, settled at the last race. But if one team finds itself dominant, the season could get wrapped up early. Also, in both recent years Lewis Hamilton could have won the championship earlier if there had not been so many mistakes as the season drew to a close.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Abu Dhabi (1st Nov)
48%
Brazil (18th Oct)
27%
Japan (4th Oct)
13%
Singapore (27th Sept)
6%
Before Singapore
7%
Activity: H$320
Question suspends in 42 weeks

Suspend date: Sun 1st Nov 11:59pm PST (42 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Abu Dhabi (1st Nov): 50%, Brazil (18th Oct): 25%, Japan (4th Oct): 12%, Singapore (27th Sept): 6%, Before Singapore: 7%

Action history:

Created Mon 10th Nov 2008 2:44am PST by pauliharman

Suspend date: Sun 1st Nov 11:59pm PST (42 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (9)

9 predictions

2 weeks ago
jimbob666 predicted Japan (4th Oct) (H$20 at 13%)
2 weeks ago
ewan1 predicted Japan (4th Oct) (H$20 at 12%)
3 weeks ago
marcel98 predicted Brazil (18th Oct) (H$100 at 26%)
5 weeks ago
rogi predicted Japan (4th Oct) (H$20 at 12%)
6 weeks ago
sbrooks predicted Abu Dhabi (1st Nov) (H$10 at 50%)
more

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