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Who will launch a payment platform first: Facebook or MySpace?

Background: With ad revenues waning, both social network giants are tipped to be releasing ways for developers to monetize their applications and take a cut of the revenue. Who will do so first?

This should be any form of release, including closed or open beta, and includes any form of platform enabled monetization including app store, virtual goods, or micropayments.

TechCrunch story here: http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/11/07/making-money-on-myspace-payments-and-virtual-gifts-coming-soon/

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Facebook
89%
MySpace
11%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Facebook: 50%, MySpace: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 10th Nov 2008 3:58am PST by tomg[Admin]
Settlement requested Tue 12th May 5:19pm PST by iknowwhatismyname: suspend : http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/Techcrunch/~3/iU9fbIt7j8U/
Suspended Mon 1st Jun 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 21st Oct 1:26am PST by shojun: One way or another - this suspended in June - the closest I can find is this:

http://forum.developers.facebook.com/viewtopic.php?id=4903
Changed Suspend date Thu 22nd Oct 12:42pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: was: "2009-06-01 23:59:00"
Unsuspended Thu 22nd Oct 12:45pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (47)

2 weeks ago
parikshit_patel predicted Facebook (H$100 at 89%)
24 weeks ago
zeebac predicted MySpace (H$20 at 11%)
24 weeks ago
dgorog predicted Facebook (H$100 at 89%)
24 weeks ago
fangpee predicted Facebook (H$100 at 89%)
24 weeks ago
gabriel2 predicted Facebook (H$100 at 89%)

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