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Created Tue 11th Nov 2008 9:04pm PST by cjg999

How Many of Bush's Executive Orders will President Obama overturn in his first year in office?

Settled as 1-15

Background: There has been much talk of President Obama overturning some of Bush's executive orders (e.g. stem cell research limitations). How many will President Obama overturn in his first year of office?

As of today, there are 279 orders made by Bush during his tenure: http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/orders/.

I've set this to suspend 2 weeks before Obama will have been in office for a year.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
None
0%
1-15
85%
16-50
8%
51-100
3%
More than 100
3%
Settled as 1-15 on Thu 21st Jan 8:55am PST

Suspend date: Wed 6th Jan 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 21st Jan 8:55am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 6th Jan 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: None: 5%, 1-15: 20%, 16-50: 35%, 51-100: 25%, More than 100: 15%

Action history:

Created Tue 11th Nov 2008 9:04pm PST by cjg999
Changed Suspend date Wed 12th Nov 2008 8:22am PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2009-01-06 23:59:00"
Changed Question text Wed 12th Nov 2008 10:31am PST by destry[Admin]: show details
... Bush's Executive Orders will President Obama overturn in his first
Changed Description Wed 12th Nov 2008 10:31am PST by destry[Admin]: show details
... has been much talk of President Obama overturning some of Bush ... research limitations). How many will President Obama overturn in his first
Suspended Wed 6th Jan 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 21st Jan 6:23am PST by hindsight: Looks like 11 were revoked and 1 was terminated.

http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/executive-orders/obama.html

http://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Author:Barack_Obama/Executive_orders
Settled as '1-15' Thu 21st Jan 8:55am PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Wed 6th Jan 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 21st Jan 8:55am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 6th Jan 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (33)

9 weeks ago
shojun predicted 1-15 (H$645 at 84%)
9 weeks ago
zeebac predicted 1-15 (H$100 at 83%)
9 weeks ago
opie predicted 1-15 (H$150 at 83%)
10 weeks ago
hemantkpatel predicted 1-15 (H$1,000 at 81%)
10 weeks ago
clevercog predicted More than 100 (H$20 at 4%)

Comments (2)

  1 hindsight
Looks as if Obama has only issued 37 executive orders himself, revoking only 9 of W's. Unless he revokes 7 more in the next 18 days, the 1-15s will have it. See specific data here: http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/executive-orders/obama.html
posted 10 weeks ago
  2 Erik
hindsight> You might want to look closer....
posted 10 weeks ago

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