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Created Wed 12th Nov 2008 10:48pm PST by jacktheseer

Will the dollar value for 1 oz. of gold trade higher than the close of the Dow Jones before 12/31/09

Settled as No

Since gold barely got over %1200, and the Dow never dropped below 6000, seems easy enough to settle as NO

Background:

Background: If the spot price is say $4,000 and the dow closes at 3999 then this will be settled as a yes

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
1%
No
99%
Settled as No on Sun 24th Jan 6am PST

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 24th Jan 6am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Wed 12th Nov 2008 10:48pm PST by jacktheseer
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 3:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 2nd Jan 6:34am PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]: never even came close.
thanks
Settlement requested Tue 12th Jan 3:14am PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]: More housekeeping. This one is easy to settle. Never came close.
Thanks
Settled as 'No' Sun 24th Jan 6am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Since gold barely got over %1200, and the Dow never dropped below 6000, seems easy enough to settle as NO

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 24th Jan 6am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (90)

11 weeks ago
daughterofanderson predicted No (H$100 at 99%)
13 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted No (H$10,000 at 98%)
33 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted No (H$5,000 at 95%)
35 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted No (H$2,000 at 94%)
37 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted No (H$3,000 at 94%)

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