Created Wed 12th Nov 2008 11:57pm PST by 
jacktheseer
jacktheseer 
Will Britain leave the EU in 2009?
Background: Britian was reluctant to participate in operation Atalanta.
The thinking was it would undermine NATO, but Germany wants a stand alone EU army, will this or any other disagreement cause Britain to leave or get kicked out of the EU?
Category Editor Clarification
Starting odds probably a little high, but it's a long term market so I'll let it move down naturally over time. In the case of the 'yes' option, this question will settle based on the date of announcement, not the date of effect.
The thinking was it would undermine NATO, but Germany wants a stand alone EU army, will this or any other disagreement cause Britain to leave or get kicked out of the EU?
Category Editor Clarification
Starting odds probably a little high, but it's a long term market so I'll let it move down naturally over time. In the case of the 'yes' option, this question will settle based on the date of announcement, not the date of effect.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| ||||
| No |
|
Question suspends in 5 weeks
- Activity: H$128,698 |
- Predictions: 105 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%
Action history:
Created Wed 12th Nov 2008 11:57pm PST by jacktheseer
jacktheseer
Changed Description Thu 13th Nov 2008 1:11am PST by 
infernalmachine![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
: show details
infernalmachine: show details ... to participate in operation Atalanta. <.<br/> The thinking was it
Changed Description Thu 13th Nov 2008 2:02am PST by 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
tisha: show details ... kicked out of the EU??<br/> <br/> <b>Category Editor Clarification</b><br/> Starting odds probably a little high, but it's a long term market so I'll let it move down naturally over time. In the case of the 'yes' option, this question will settle based on the date of announcement, not the date of effect.
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (105)
predicted No (H$50 at 94%)
predicted No (H$340 at 94%)
predicted No (H$10,000 at 94%)Comments (0)
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