reuters
Will U.S. holiday retail sales fall by 1 percent or less this year?
Reported by source that their data showed that holiday retail sales had dropped by only 0.9%, so it is settled as 1% or less.
Although other sources might have shown greater amounts, the question was referring to a data from a particular report. The amount they referred to is creating the question was based on expectations of a 1% decline, and so the data to be used must be from the same source as was used to develop the question.
"Overall, same-store sales fell 0.9 percent, according to the Thomson Reuters index of 35 stores, slightly better than the 1 percent decline forecast."
http://www.reuters.com/article/ousivMolt/idUSTRE5073EX20090109
Background:
Settlement details:As reported by America's Research Group on Reuters.com. Yes = A fall of 1 percent or less. No = A fall of more than 1 percent.
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
- Activity: H$73,589 |
- Predictions: 63 |
Comments: 3
Suspend date: Wed 24th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 19th Jan 5:50am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 24th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
reuters 
faisal
: http://www.reuters.com/article/rbssConsumerGoodsAndRetailNews/idUSN2627264920081226 
elly
: It's time to have a settlement here. According to cited article the answer is YES 
jakethesnake
: Retail sales fell 2.7% according to the commerce department:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090114/ap_on_bi_go_ec_fi/economy
Can be settled as NO.
elly: The answer is YES, according to the settlement, which question require - reuter's report:
"Overall, same-store sales fell 0.9 percent, according to the Thomson Reuters index of 35 stores, slightly better than the 1 percent decline forecast."
http://www.reuters.com/article/ousivMolt/idUSTRE5073EX20090109
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Reported by source that their data showed that holiday retail sales had dropped by only 0.9%, so it is settled as 1% or less.
Although other sources might have shown greater amounts, the question was referring to a data from a particular report. The amount they referred to is creating the question was based on expectations of a 1% decline, and so the data to be used must be from the same source as was used to develop the question.
"Overall, same-store sales fell 0.9 percent, according to the Thomson Reuters index of 35 stores, slightly better than the 1 percent decline forecast."
http://www.reuters.com/article/ousivMolt/idUSTRE5073EX20090109
Suspend date: Wed 24th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 19th Jan 5:50am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 24th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (63)
predicted Yes (H$655 at 19%)
deanthoreau predicted No (H$100 at 82%)
predicted Yes (H$130 at 18%)
predicted No (H$50 at 82%)
rogerkniComments (3)
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Will take care of this soon, but a lot of folks may be unhappy.....
"Overall, same-store sales fell 0.9 percent, according to the Thomson Reuters index of 35 stores, slightly better than the 1 percent decline forecast."
http://www.reuters.com/article/ousivMolt/idUSTRE5073EX20090109
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