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Will HBO greenlight George Martin's "Game of Thrones" for 2009?

Current forecast: 66% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 66% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

TV seems primed for some good fantasy, with the economy in shambles and many Americans too depressed to enjoy reality. HBO has ordered a pilot for George Martin's Game of Thrones -- there are currently plans for 7 books in the series which could potentially create a 7 season series. Generally the danger for fantasy series is the prohibitive special effects cost, but Martin's series is more character focused with the majority of battles happening off screen. The success of this season's True Blood may suggest that HBO is prepared to branch out into the genre a little more for next season.

After Terry Goodkind's Sword of Truth novels, and now Martin's I'm just waiting for news on a Robert Jordan's Wheel of Time series. For that, I would pay for HBO!

Read more about George Martin's series
More about the pilot


Settlement details: Must be slated for a 2009 premiere. Note the suspend date can slide forward -- will settle on announcement.

 
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Yes
66%
No
34%
Activity: H$7,240
Question suspends in 18 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 15th May 12:59am PDT (18 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%

Action history:

Created Fri 14th Nov 2008 6:02am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]

Suspend date: Fri 15th May 12:59am PDT (18 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (31)

31 predictions

2 days ago
philphan1 predicted No (H$20 at 34%)
4 weeks ago
richporter predicted Yes (H$100 at 69%)
7 weeks ago
deelilley predicted No (H$50 at 31%)
7 weeks ago
chull predicted Yes (H$20 at 69%)
7 weeks ago
sdchargers[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 69%)
more

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