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In what month will English Wikipedia reach 2,700,000 articles?

Current forecast: During January 2009 (92% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is During January 2009 with a probability of 92% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Wikipedia is, according to its site, "the free encyclopedia that anyone can edit". It began in 2001, and has grown ever since. English Wikipedia reached 1 million articles in 2006 and 2 million articles in 2007. Its most recent milestone was reaching 2.6 million articles in October 2008. As of today, it has 2,623,579 articles. When will it reach 2.7 million articles?


Settlement details: As shown on en.wikipedia.org.

 
Forecast history, %
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Before January 2009
0%
During January 2009
92%
During February 2009
6%
During March 2009
1%
During April 2009
1%
After April 2009
0%
Activity: H$24,844
Question suspends in 16 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 1st May 12:59am PDT (16 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Before January 2009: 5%, During January 2009: 20%, During February 2009: 40%, During March 2009: 20%, During April 2009: 10%, After April 2009: 5%

Action history:

Created Fri 14th Nov 2008 9:45pm PST by filanator

Suspend date: Fri 1st May 12:59am PDT (16 weeks to go)
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Predictions (46)

46 predictions

1 hour ago
aikon predicted During January 2009 (H$300 at 91%)
1 day ago
aikon predicted During January 2009 (H$300 at 91%)
1 day ago
aikon predicted During January 2009 (H$300 at 91%)
1 day ago
aikon predicted During January 2009 (H$300 at 90%)
2 days ago
aikon predicted During January 2009 (H$20 at 90%)
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