Home Hubdub logo
 
Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

Travelers from how many bold-faced countries will be allowed visa-free entry into US before 1-21-09?

Current forecast: Six (62% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Six with a probability of 62% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Beginning on November 17, travelers from South Korea, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Slovakia and the Czech Republic will be allowed visa-free entry into the US as long as they fill out an internet form. (The form becomes mandatory for these countries as well as 27 others on January 12.) US-bound travelers still need to get a visa if the Electronic System Travel Authorization refuses them.

The US is talking to six members of the EU about joining this visa waiver program. They are Poland, Greece, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Malta and Romania. Jackie Bednarz, a Department of Homeland Security official at the U.S. Mission to the EU, said, "It is our objective to admit additional countries before the change of U.S. administration."

This market will be settled based on how many of Poland, Greece, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Malta and Romania are admitted into the visa waiver program. This market will suspend on January 19 or when one of the six bold-faced enters into the program.

Additional information:
http://www.reuters.com/article/email/idUSTRE4AD32M20081114
http://www.cbp.gov/xp/cgov/travel/id_visa/esta/


Settlement details: As reported by http://www.reuters.com/ or the US government.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

None
10%
One or two
13%
Three, four or five
15%
Six
62%
Activity: H$5,697
Question suspends in 1 week

Suspend date: Sun 18th Jan 9pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: None: 20%, One or two: 14%, Three, four or five: 21%, Six: 45%

Action history:

Created Sat 15th Nov 2008 9:13am PST by onedave[Power User]

Suspend date: Sun 18th Jan 9pm PST (1 week to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (15)

15 predictions

1 day ago
whatsup predicted Three, four or five (H$50 at 15%)
2 days ago
oppugner predicted Six (H$1,000 at 58%)
2 days ago
alertedclub predicted Three, four or five (H$20 at 17%)
6 weeks ago
bcumings predicted One or two (H$20 at 18%)
6 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted Three, four or five (H$75 at 19%)
more

Comments (0)

No comments yet

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more