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Presidential Inauguration: What verse will Barack Obama's Bible be open to?

Current forecast: Closed Bible (59% chance3%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Closed Bible with a probability of 59% (down 3% in last 1 day)

It is customary for the incoming President to use a Bible to administer the oath of office at his inauguration. Every President since Rutherford B. Hayes has used a Bible at the inauguration marking his first full term.

George W. Bush used a closed family Bible at his 2001 inauguration. Bill Clinton's Bible was open to Galatians 6:8 (New Testament) in 1993 and Isaiah 58:12 (Old Testament) in 1997.

If two Bibles are used, this market will be settled as, "other option." This market refers to the public inauguration.

Additional information:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_inauguration
http://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Bible_(King_James)
http://lcweb2.loc.gov/ammem/pihtml/pibible.html


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Closed Bible
59%
No Bible used
0%
Bible opened at random or not known
14%
Old Testament
5%
New Testament
19%
Other option
2%
Activity: H$17,306
Question suspends in 1 week

Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: Closed Bible: 20%, No Bible used: 3%, Bible opened at random or not known: 3%, Old Testament: 50%, New Testament: 20%, Other option: 4%

Action history:

Created Sat 15th Nov 2008 3:10pm PST by onedave[Power User]
Changed Suspend date Sat 15th Nov 2008 4:01pm PST by destry[Admin]: was: "2009-01-21 00:55:00"

Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (93)

93 predictions

1 hour ago
cheese predicted Other option (H$20 at 2%)
4 hours ago
thecastrator predicted New Testament (H$253 at 17%)
5 hours ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted Bible opened at random or not known (H$500 at 10%)
5 hours ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted Closed Bible (H$1,000 at 65%)
1 day ago
andytom predicted Closed Bible (H$50 at 62%)
more

Comments (10)

@onedave - that's an interesting market - I was toying with doing a King James vs NIV market, but I kind of think I like this one better.
posted 7 weeks ago
New Testament, Matthew, King James Version, Chapter 5 verses 3-12
Blessed are the poor in spirit, For theirs is the kingdom of heaven.
Blessed are those who mourn, For they shall be comforted.
Blessed are the meek, For they shall inherit the earth.
Blessed are those who hunger and thirst for righteousness, For they shall be filled.
Blessed are the merciful, For they shall obtain mercy.
Blessed are the pure in heart, For they shall see God.
Blessed are the peacemakers, For they shall be called sons of God.
Blessed are those who are persecuted for righteousness’ sake, For theirs is the kingdom of heaven.
Blessed are you when they revile and persecute you, and say all kinds of evil against you falsely for My sake. Rejoice and be exceedingly glad, for great is your reward in heaven, for so they persecuted the prophets who were before you.”

Emphasis on Verse 12!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
posted 7 weeks ago
  3 bigken1
I, for one, am unclear about the settlement issues. The problem I have is the following. Wouldn't the Bible , if used, be either new or old testament? If so, isn't that complete (with the choice not used) in the mathematical sense? So that other options are parts of these sets, etc.. so the choices are not independent. For example, it could be a closed old testament Bible -- How would this settle? Hope this is clear.
posted 2 weeks ago
bigken1,

I've never heard of a Bible that is one or the other...that is if it's an 'official' Bible anyhow.

Only Jews use just the Old Testament. Christian Bibles whether they be KJV or NIV or any other types have both the Old T and the New T.
posted 2 weeks ago
He's going to use the Lincoln Bible, which is both Old & New Testaments, King James Version. The question now is if he will open it...
posted 2 weeks ago
it is good to use a republican bible...they an't say the words in it were changed by liberals then
posted 2 weeks ago
How's that GOP one start... ' My truth is your lie ' ??
posted 2 weeks ago
nawww. In the beginning Dick Cheney told God to.......and God....and then Dick told God...and that is why they had to create woman, so she could tell Dick...Hi daddy Im a lesbian..do you wonder why?
posted 2 weeks ago
  9 bigken1
Thanks all for comments... Need to brush up here..
posted 4 days ago
  10 bigken1
NOw I understand. It deals with which part it is open to... I misunderstood the two word responses... ( i found these two words not related to the other parts of the questions...)... well, sorry for misunderstanding..
posted 4 days ago

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