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When will the U.S. Dept. of State issue its next Travel Warning ?

Settled as Nov. 19 - 21

PAKISTAN

November 21, 2008

Background:

The U.S. State Dept. has issued five Travel Warnings in the last 5 days. Prior to that there was a 10 day gap between Travel Warnings. And prior to that there was a 28 day gap in issuance. When will the next Travel Warning occur?

Check it out here: http://travel.state.gov/travel/cis_pa_tw/tw/tw_1764.html


Settlement details: As reported by <a href="http://travel.state.gov/travel/cis_pa_tw/tw/tw_1764.html">http://travel.state.gov/travel/cis_pa_tw/tw/tw_1764.html<;/a>

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Nov. 16 - 18
19%
Nov. 19 - 21
20%
Nov. 22 - 24
10%
Nov. 25 - 27
9%
Nov. 28 - 30
10%
Dec. 1 - 3
7%
Dec. 4 - 6
5%
Dec. 7 - 9
7%
Dec. 10 - 12
7%
Dec. 13th or Later
6%
Activity: H$3,476
Settled as Nov. 19 - 21 on Sat 22nd Nov 2008 12:21pm PST

Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 22nd Nov 2008 12:21pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 21st Nov 2008 5pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Nov. 16 - 18: 20%, Nov. 19 - 21: 12%, Nov. 22 - 24: 11%, Nov. 25 - 27: 10%, Nov. 28 - 30: 15%, Dec. 1 - 3: 9%, Dec. 4 - 6: 7%, Dec. 7 - 9: 6%, Dec. 10 - 12: 5%, Dec. 13th or Later: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 15th Nov 2008 4:18pm PST by buckeyetom
Settlement requested Sat 22nd Nov 2008 9:44am PST by gtown: Nov. 19 - 21

Nepal 11/21/2008
Pakistan 11/21/2008

http://travel.state.gov/travel/cis_pa_tw/tw/tw_1764.html
Settled as 'Nov. 19 - 21' Sat 22nd Nov 2008 12:21pm PST by destry[Admin]: PAKISTAN

November 21, 2008

Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 22nd Nov 2008 12:21pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 21st Nov 2008 5pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (46)

46 predictions

7 weeks ago
gtown predicted Nov. 19 - 21 (H$15 at 14%)
7 weeks ago
gtown predicted Nov. 28 - 30 (H$20 at 11%)
7 weeks ago
gtown predicted Nov. 25 - 27 (H$20 at 11%)
7 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted Nov. 22 - 24 (H$25 at 12%)
7 weeks ago
crowe predicted Dec. 13th or Later (H$20 at 6%)
more

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