Created Sat 15th Nov 2008 4:33pm PST by 
nadine_dr_computer
All questions » Politics » US Politics » nadine_dr_computer 
Presidential Inauguration: Will the Obama's wear hats? If so, whom?
Current forecast: No hat on Barack, Michelle or the girls (39% chance
1%)
1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is No hat on Barack, Michelle or the girls with a probability of 39% (up 1% in last 1 day)
Hats are a traditional accessory for the Inauguration. Some President's have chosen not to wear a hat but it is a rarity. The question is, who in the Obama family will be wearing hats.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. If either daughter wears a hat it is counted as daughters wearing a hat.
Make your prediction!
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No hat on Barack, Michelle or the girls |
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Hats on all four of them |
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Hat on Barack and Michelle |
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Hat on Barack only |
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Hat on Michelle only |
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Hats on daughters only |
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Hats on Michelle and daughters only |
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Hats on Barack and daughters only |
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Activity: H$28,154
Question suspends in 1 week
Suspend date: Mon 19th Jan 7:59pm PST (1 week to go)
Initial likelihoods: No hat on Barack, Michelle or the girls: 10%, Hats on all four of them: 10%, Hat on Barack and Michelle: 10%, Hat on Barack only: 15%, Hat on Michelle only: 15%, Hats on daughters only: 20%, Hats on Michelle and daughters only: 10%, Hats on Barack and daughters only: 10%
Action history:
Created Sat 15th Nov 2008 4:33pm PST by nadine_dr_computer
nadine_dr_computer
Suspend date: Mon 19th Jan 7:59pm PST (1 week to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (141)
141 predictions
mrperfkt![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
predicted No hat on Barack, Michelle or the girls (H$750 at 43%)
rbrog77
predicted Hats on daughters only (H$250 at 26%)
predicted Hats on Michelle and daughters only (H$100 at 22%)
horsefeathers
predicted Hats on Michelle and daughters only (H$10 at 23%)
lcsnor
predicted Hat on Michelle only (H$20 at 6%)
gooddeed89
predicted No hat on Barack, Michelle or the girls (H$500 at 40%)
vanillalullaby
predicted No hat on Barack, Michelle or the girls (H$100 at 37%)
jamalpeter
predicted Hats on Michelle and daughters only (H$100 at 19%)
wabash
deanthoreau
predicted Hats on Michelle and daughters only (H$20 at 17%)Comments (9)
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score: 10
Glasgow Herald 22 hours ago
MARIA PUENTE You could call it 'Obamalot'. The incoming presidential couple, Barack and Michelle Obama, bear a superficial resemblance to John and Jacqueline Kennedy of the 1960s 'Camelot' White House - charisma, vigour and her fondness for sheath
score: 10
Chicago Tribune 1 day ago
In pursuit of his twin goals of reviving the economy and transforming the political climate in Washington, President-elect Barack Obama not only wants quick congressional action on his mammoth stimulus package but also wants significant numbers of
score: 10
National Post 1 day ago
? years. Although she?s only stepped foot inside the White House twice since the Nov. 4 election, Michelle Obama is already bearing the weight of national scrutiny and expectations ? all the while insisting her first aim is simply to be
score: 10
AFP via Yahoo! 2 days ago
AFP/HO ? President-elect Barack(R) and Michelle Obama get their daughters Sasha(L) and Malia ready for their first ? Play Video Barack Obama Video: Obama: Economy 'bad and getting worse' AP Play Video Barack Obama Video
score: 10
Wall Street Journal Online 2 days ago
to the Smithsonian, he declined to discuss whether he?ll be soliciting other clothing items from Barack and Michelle Obama or their two daughters, Sasha and Malia, beyond that. ?Obviously, we would be interested in acquiring material from them,? he
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