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Will General Motors file for bankruptcy or receive federal help?

Settled as Yes

Should have been settled as of the announcement on Friday, December 19....here's more information:

President Bush announce a loan package to both GM and Chrysler totaling $17.4 billion to insure that the companies would not go bankrupt.



The White House released the statement at 9:01 AM EST and AP reported on the conference, including Bush's live speech at 9:44 AM EST. The speech was scheduled to begin at 9:30 AM EST, so I'm sure mention of the plan had been completed by 9:35 AM EST and that will be the settlement time for this question. Any wagers placed after this time will be voided and refunded.

Background:

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- If General Motors really does run out of money by the end of the year, as it predicted was possible, the impact would be felt far and wide - to hundreds of suppliers, rival automakers and ultimately dealers across the nation.

"Once the first domino falls, it rapidly takes out all the other dominoes," said Dennis Virag, president of the Automotive Consulting Group.

Suppliers would be among the first to feel those effects since GM only manufactures the body, the engine and the transmission used in its cars.

In the United States alone, GM spends $31 billion on parts from 2,100 different suppliers. These include the "direct suppliers" involved in producing a vehicle - those that provide everything from steering wheels and seatbelts to brakes and airbags - as well as "indirect suppliers" - those that make things such as gloves, protective eyewear, shop rags and lightbulbs
http://money.cnn.com/2008/11/14/autos/auto_failure_ripple_effect/index.htm

SETTLEMENT: Bankruptcy must be declared by 12/31/08 or an announcement of federal assistance to GM made by 12/31/08 to be settled as a yes.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
79%
No
21%
Activity: H$80,267
Settled as Yes on Tue 23rd Dec 2008 5:06am PST

Suspend date: Wed 24th Dec 2008 7:59am PST Settlement date: Tue 23rd Dec 2008 5:06am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Sat 15th Nov 2008 10:35pm PST by curios
Changed Suspend date Sun 16th Nov 2008 6:25am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: was: "2008-12-31 07:59:00"
Settlement requested Fri 19th Dec 2008 4:49pm PST by deanthoreau: I beleive it was announced today that the US Govt was loaning GM and chrysler 14 billion
Suspended Tue 23rd Dec 2008 4:58am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: examining settlement possibility
Settled as 'No' Tue 23rd Dec 2008 5:03am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Should have been settled by the announcement on Friday, December 19 by President Bush....Suspension and Settlement time will be set to 9:35 AM EST, 12/19/08

Here's more info on the issue:
President Bush announce a loan package to both GM and Chrysler totaling $17.4 billion to insure that the companies would not go bankrupt.

The White House released the statement at 9:01 AM EST and AP reported on the conference, including Bush's live speech at 9:44 AM EST. The speech was scheduled to begin at 9:30 AM EST, so I'm sure mention of the plan had been completed by 9:35 AM EST and that will be the settlement time for this question.

Any wagers placed after this time will be voided and refunded.
Previous action withdrawn Tue 23rd Dec 2008 5:04am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: should have been yes
Settled as 'Yes' Tue 23rd Dec 2008 5:06am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Should have been settled as of the announcement on Friday, December 19....here's more information:

President Bush announce a loan package to both GM and Chrysler totaling $17.4 billion to insure that the companies would not go bankrupt.



The White House released the statement at 9:01 AM EST and AP reported on the conference, including Bush's live speech at 9:44 AM EST. The speech was scheduled to begin at 9:30 AM EST, so I'm sure mention of the plan had been completed by 9:35 AM EST and that will be the settlement time for this question. Any wagers placed after this time will be voided and refunded.

Suspend date: Wed 24th Dec 2008 7:59am PST Settlement date: Tue 23rd Dec 2008 5:06am PST
more info...

 

Predictions (88)

88 predictions

2 weeks ago
vidal1 predicted No (H$100 at 18%)
2 weeks ago
storekeeperathscm predicted Yes (H$100 at 83%)
2 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted Yes (H$2,222 at 78%)
3 weeks ago
joslloyd predicted No (H$100 at 23%)
3 weeks ago
grzebeta predicted Yes (H$20 at 77%)
more

Comments (6)

  1 bayoubear[Admin]
Just to clarify....

Basically, if GM receives either federal help or files for bankruptcy by 12/31 it would be a yes.

If no help is forthcoming, and GM is able to stay afloat past the 1st of the year, it would be a no.
posted 7 weeks ago
  2 curios
if one reads the whole article there is no need for clarification but thanks anyway
posted 7 weeks ago
  3 bayoubear[Admin]
You're welcome...I was just replying to a question that another player had flagged, and thought others might not fully understand...always good to try to clarify settlements issues ahead of time

Good question...good info...should draw a lot of interest!
posted 7 weeks ago
  4 dieseldog
why isn't this settled?
posted 2 weeks ago
  5 schenz
SETTLEMENT: Bankruptcy must be declared by 12/31/08 or an announcement of federal assistance to GM made by 12/31/08 to be settled as a yes.

Announcement was made to give the Big 3 14 billion dollars, why did this settle as no?
posted 2 weeks ago
  6 schenz
nevermind...
posted 2 weeks ago

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