Created Sun 16th Nov 2008 5:48am PST by 
curios
curios 
WILL the SOMALI GOVERMENT give in to the insurgents ?
Suspended
Suspend date reached
Background:
Background: MOGADISHU, SOMALIA (AP) - The Somali government is close to collapse because disputes within its ranks have allowed armed Islamic insurgents to take control of much of the country, the president said.
President Abdullahi Yusuf's remarks to about 100 Somali lawmakers in the Kenyan capital, Nairobi, late Saturday represent the first admission by any official that the government is losing control.
Hours earlier, a radical Islamic group seized another Somali port town, consolidating its control over a southwestern region that borders the Somali capital
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2008/nov/16/somali-president-government-on-verge-of-collapse/
Category Editor Clarification: Excellent question, curios. But in need of a couple points being cleared up. First off, the suspend date Nov 17 (Somalia time) will be the expected settlement date (if settled as No). Next, the phrase "give in" is a little open-ended. However, from the article:
"Yusuf said his government only had control of the capital and the southwestern town of Baidoa, which is the seat of Parliament."
So this will settle as Yes if the government gives up or hands over control of BOTH Baidoa and Mogadishu to the insurgents, or if the government itself is taken over by the insurgents (through election, coup, etc.).
President Abdullahi Yusuf's remarks to about 100 Somali lawmakers in the Kenyan capital, Nairobi, late Saturday represent the first admission by any official that the government is losing control.
Hours earlier, a radical Islamic group seized another Somali port town, consolidating its control over a southwestern region that borders the Somali capital
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2008/nov/16/somali-president-government-on-verge-of-collapse/
Category Editor Clarification: Excellent question, curios. But in need of a couple points being cleared up. First off, the suspend date Nov 17 (Somalia time) will be the expected settlement date (if settled as No). Next, the phrase "give in" is a little open-ended. However, from the article:
"Yusuf said his government only had control of the capital and the southwestern town of Baidoa, which is the seat of Parliament."
So this will settle as Yes if the government gives up or hands over control of BOTH Baidoa and Mogadishu to the insurgents, or if the government itself is taken over by the insurgents (through election, coup, etc.).
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended
- Activity: H$34,078 |
- Predictions: 60 |
Comments: 2
Suspend date: Mon 16th Nov 11:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Sun 16th Nov 2008 5:48am PST by curios
curios
Changed Description Sun 16th Nov 2008 5:30pm PST by 
infernalmachine![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
: show details
infernalmachine: show details ... the country, the president said. <.<br/> <br/> President Abdullahi Yusuf' ... the government is losing control. <.<br/> <br/> Hours earlier, a ... that borders the Somali capital <<br/> <br/> <a href="http:// ... -on-verge-of-collapse/</a><br/> <br/> <b>Category Editor Clarification:</b> Excellent question, curios. But in need of a couple points being cleared up. First off, the suspend date Nov 17 (Somalia time) will be the expected settlement date (if settled as No). Next, the phrase "give in" is a little open-ended. However, from the article:<br/> <br/> "<i>Yusuf said his government only had control of the capital and the southwestern town of Baidoa, which is the seat of Parliament.</i>"<br/> <br/> So this will settle as Yes if the government gives up or hands over control of BOTH Baidoa and Mogadishu to the insurgents, or if the government itself is taken over by the insurgents (through election, coup, etc.).
Suspended Mon 16th Nov 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspend date: Mon 16th Nov 11:59pm PST details 
Get widget!Predictions (60)
predicted No (H$100 at 88%)
predicted No (H$1,000 at 88%)
bernardo
predicted No (H$2,624 at 86%)
broxted
predicted Yes (H$20 at 41%)
predicted No (H$20 at 59%)Comments (2)
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where has my other one gone
http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/somalia-falling-to-islamists/2008/11/17/1226770354404.html
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