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NCAAB: Including 2009, how many Final Four appearances will the 2009 NCAA Final Four teams have?
Current forecast: Between 40 and 49 (21% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Between 40 and 49 with a probability of 21% (unchanged in last 1 day)
The national semifinals of the men's NCAA Division I basketball tournament is called the Final Four. In 2008, the Final Four teams were North Carolina (17th), Kansas (13th), Memphis (3rd) and UCLA (18th). Combined they had a total of 51 Final Four appearances.
Duke has been to 14 Final Fours. Kentucky has been to 13. The vast majority of teams have not been to any.
Additional information:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NCAA_Men%27s_Division_I_Tournament_bids_by_school_and_conference
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NCAA_Men%27s_Division_I_Final_Four_appearances_by_school
Duke has been to 14 Final Fours. Kentucky has been to 13. The vast majority of teams have not been to any.
Additional information:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NCAA_Men%27s_Division_I_Tournament_bids_by_school_and_conference
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NCAA_Men%27s_Division_I_Final_Four_appearances_by_school
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Sixty or more |
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Between 50 and 59 |
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Between 40 and 49 |
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Between 30 and 39 |
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Between 20 and 29 |
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Between 10 and 19 |
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9 or fewer |
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Activity: H$50
Question suspends in 11 weeks
Suspend date: Sat 28th Mar 1:30pm PDT (11 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Sixty or more: 5%, Between 50 and 59: 12%, Between 40 and 49: 20%, Between 30 and 39: 20%, Between 20 and 29: 20%, Between 10 and 19: 20%, 9 or fewer: 3%
Action history:
Suspend date: Sat 28th Mar 1:30pm PDT (11 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (1)
1 prediction
pixelpaws
predicted Between 40 and 49 (H$50 at 20%)Comments (3)
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score: 10
Boston Globe 3 days ago
The Atlantic Coast Conference, anchored by perennial powers North Carolina and Duke, may be the best men's college basketball conference in the country, and the ACC Tournament is a hoops feast, with 11 games in four days. Cheer on Boston College,
score: 10
CBS Sportsline 4 days ago
Lately, it's been UCLA's turn, with four straight trips to the NCAA tournament and three consecutive Final Four appearances. UCLA has won eight in a row over Oregon State and the past four in Corvallis. The Bruins ruled Friday night from the start,
score: 10
San Jose Mercury News 4 days ago
Lately, it's been UCLA's turn, with four straight trips to the NCAA tournament and three consecutive Final Four appearances. UCLA has won eight in a row over Oregon State and the past four in Corvallis. The Bruins ruled Friday night from the start,
score: 10
MSNBC 1 week ago
player at the Final Four, because Davidson didn't make it. But Curry's scoring blitz through the NCAA Tournament introduced the nation to a basketball wizard, made a tiny liberal arts college into a national sports brand and reminded everyone who watched
score: 10
Philadelphia Inquirer 1 week ago
will debut in 2009 at Ford Field in Detroit. The court will be in the center of the football field and capacity will be approximately 71,000. On Dec. 13, 2003, Kentucky played Michigan State at Ford Field in front of 78,129. Thus, the mega-Final Four
The chances that *three* first-timers make it is beyond astronomical, though only one is not impossible (Gonzaga, Davidson).
Teams in the top 25 that could spoil it and shoot it low: Pittsburgh (ranked 3rd), Gonzaga (5th), Xavier (14th), Davidson (22nd), Baylor (24th)
However, the great teams have also been great before....many times.
UNC = 18
Duke = 14
UCLA = 18
However, Connecticut has only been there twice, Pitt once, Oklahoma four times.
Long and short...the NCAA is hope to some of the biggest upsets in sports history due to its single elimination tourney played in such a short time span. MLB, NHL, and NBA play long playoffs with 7-game series, which almost always select the best team. NFL plays a grueling season and only selects 6 teams per conference meaning less variables as well.
This question is RIPE for specualtion, and I haven't calculated the exact suspend date, but I wish it would suspend the day before the elite 8 starts. It could get TONS of money piped into it. You could have big timers like UNC, UCLA, and Kansas playing newbies to the final four like Pitt, UConn, Notre Dame, Oklahoma..with their titles and this prediction all on the line.
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