NCAAF Top 10 - BCS vs AP - Total differences in Week 13?

Settled as 4

Places 2, 4, 6 and 8

http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/rankingsindex

Background:

NOTE: Suspend time is end of the day Saturday.

Looking at the top 10, how many times will these disagree on a ranking? This is a line by line difference. For example, if the two polls switch #s 4 and 5, that's two differences, not just one, because both 4 and 5 are different.

For example, looking at week 9:

http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/rankingsindex?seasonYear=2008&weekNumber=10&seasonType=2

there are 4 differences:
5: USC vs Florida
6: Georgia vs Texas Tech
7: Texas Tech vs USC
8: Florida vs Georgia

The data so far is: 5, 4, 5, 5, 4

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source, such as:
http://msn.foxsports.com/cfb/polls
http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/rankingsindex

Forecast history, %

Zoom in

Settled

1 to 3

15%

27%

18%

7 to 10

No difference in top 10

Activity: H$1,287

Settled as 4 on Mon 24th Nov 2008 6:51am PST

Suspend date: Sat 22nd Nov 2008 8pm PST Settlement date: Mon 24th Nov 2008 6:51am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 22nd Nov 2008 8pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 1 to 3: 10%, 4: 30%, 5: 30%, 6: 20%, 7 to 10: 5%, No difference in top 10: 5%

Action history:

Created Sun 16th Nov 2008 2:19pm PST by

gtown

Suspended Sat 22nd Nov 2008 8pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sun 23rd Nov 2008 8pm PST by

gtown

: 4

Places 2, 4, 6 and 8

http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/rankingsindex

Settled as '4' Mon 24th Nov 2008 6:51am PST by