Will there be a successful womb-transplant birth in 2009?
Current forecast: 10% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 10% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
There has just been a successful ovary transplant birth in London:
"News of the world's first baby born after a remarkable ovary transplant operation offered hope last night to millions of women around the world with fertility problems, including more than 100,000 women in the UK who suffer early menopause and those undergoing chemotherapy or radiotherapy for cancer.
The birth of Maja was described by mother Susanne Butscher as "a little miracle". The 39-year-old was given the ovary by her twin sister, Dorothee, a year ago, after she suffered an early menopause."
This has reignited plans for a womb transplant birth. This has already been successfully practised on sheep and a rhesus monkey, but not in humans. However, doctors seem to believe tthat this procedure is imminent. Read more here.
"News of the world's first baby born after a remarkable ovary transplant operation offered hope last night to millions of women around the world with fertility problems, including more than 100,000 women in the UK who suffer early menopause and those undergoing chemotherapy or radiotherapy for cancer.
The birth of Maja was described by mother Susanne Butscher as "a little miracle". The 39-year-old was given the ovary by her twin sister, Dorothee, a year ago, after she suffered an early menopause."
This has reignited plans for a womb transplant birth. This has already been successfully practised on sheep and a rhesus monkey, but not in humans. However, doctors seem to believe tthat this procedure is imminent. Read more here.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Market will settle on the successful birth of a live baby.
Make your prediction!
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Activity: H$260
Question suspends in 51 weeks
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (51 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%
Action history:
Changed Settlement info Sun 16th Nov 2008 9:55pm PST by 
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: show details
tisha: show details ... a major mainstream news source. Market will settle on the successful birth of a live baby.
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (51 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (6)
6 predictions
nuaetius
predicted No (H$20 at 90%)
predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
lcsnorComments (0)
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score: 10
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and already hospitals have had to close wards as they attempt to deal with the disease. Worlds first Ovary transplant In a world first scientists successfully carried out a full ovary transplant And in November, Susanne Butscher, 39, gave birth to a
Related tags
New in Science » Scientific Discoveries
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