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Created Mon 17th Nov 2008 2:13am PST by vexnews
All questions » Politics » Other Politics » 

Who will win the Lord Mayoralty of Melbourne?

Settled as Robert Doyle

Robert Doyle won.
http://www.news.com.au/perthnow/story/0,21598,24731851-949,00.html

Background:

Businesses, land-owners and residents within the City of Melbourne directly elect a Lord Mayor. In 2008, there are eleven candidates.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source, such as Melbourne's most popular newspaper, the Herald Sun.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Peter McMullin
46%
Gary Morgan
2%
Catherine Ng
6%
Robert Doyle
25%
Will Fowles
2%
Adam Bandt
4%
Gary Singer
0%
Shelley Roberts
0%
Nick Columb
15%
Robert 'King' Crawford or Joseph Toscano
0%
Activity: H$26,726
Settled as Robert Doyle on Sun 30th Nov 2008 1:25pm PST

Suspend date: Fri 28th Nov 2008 5:59am PST Settlement date: Sun 30th Nov 2008 1:25pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 28th Nov 2008 5:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Peter McMullin: 18%, Gary Morgan: 9%, Catherine Ng: 16%, Robert Doyle: 18%, Will Fowles: 7%, Adam Bandt: 7%, Gary Singer: 13%, Shelley Roberts: 3%, Nick Columb: 8%, Robert 'King' Crawford or Joseph Toscano: 1%

Action history:

Created Mon 17th Nov 2008 2:13am PST by vexnews
Suspended Fri 28th Nov 2008 5:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 30th Nov 2008 6:15am PST by joaoxxx: It's Robert Doyle -- http://www.news.com.au/perthnow/story/0,21598,24731851-949,00.html
Settled as 'Robert Doyle' Sun 30th Nov 2008 1:25pm PST by infernalmachine[Admin]: Robert Doyle won.
http://www.news.com.au/perthnow/story/0,21598,24731851-949,00.html

Suspend date: Fri 28th Nov 2008 5:59am PST Settlement date: Sun 30th Nov 2008 1:25pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 28th Nov 2008 5:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (69)

69 predictions

5 weeks ago
curios predicted Robert Doyle (H$400 at 22%)
5 weeks ago
vexnews predicted Peter McMullin (H$20 at 50%)
5 weeks ago
joaoxxx predicted Catherine Ng (H$99 at 5%)
5 weeks ago
joaoxxx predicted Catherine Ng (H$100 at 3%)
6 weeks ago
vexnews predicted Catherine Ng (H$40 at 2%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 vexnews
Thanks so much to everyone who participated in VEXNEWS's first prediction market.
posted 5 weeks ago
  2 tisha[Admin]
Exciting stuff! Results due out by Saturday night, I think. Looks like Peter McMullin is the favourite to win (from the press, and us!).
posted 5 weeks ago
  3 pitchedoutsideleg
Bobby D - no idea why I bet heavily on you, but you came through!
posted 5 weeks ago

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