Created Mon 17th Nov 2008 4:12am PST by 
growthy
growthy 
What will be First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)'s market cap by the end of 2010?
Background: The wind, solar and geothermal industries have wasted no time pressing the incoming Obama administration to implement an alternative energy agenda to spur investment and create jobs.
During a conference call Thursday, the leaders of the Solar Energy Industries Association, American Wind Energy Association and other trade groups lobbied for a plethora of legislation and policy initiatives. None of these proposals are new, but given Barack Obama’s campaign promises to promote alternative energy and the strengthened Democratic majority in Congress, the industry has the best chance in many years of seeing this wish list made real.
A focus by President Obama and Congress on restoring confidence in the financial system will most likely do the most for green investment as well as restore luster to battered renewable energy stocks like First Solar (FSLR)
http://greenwombat.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2008/11/13/the-renewable-energy-industrys-obama-wish-list/
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=fslr
Market Cap: 9.47B (Nov 14, 2008)
During a conference call Thursday, the leaders of the Solar Energy Industries Association, American Wind Energy Association and other trade groups lobbied for a plethora of legislation and policy initiatives. None of these proposals are new, but given Barack Obama’s campaign promises to promote alternative energy and the strengthened Democratic majority in Congress, the industry has the best chance in many years of seeing this wish list made real.
A focus by President Obama and Congress on restoring confidence in the financial system will most likely do the most for green investment as well as restore luster to battered renewable energy stocks like First Solar (FSLR)
http://greenwombat.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2008/11/13/the-renewable-energy-industrys-obama-wish-list/
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=fslr
Market Cap: 9.47B (Nov 14, 2008)
Settlement details:As reported by http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=fslr or finance.google.com
Forecast history %
| below $10B |
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| between $10B and $20B |
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| between $20B and $30B |
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| above $30B |
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| other (going private, etc) |
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Question suspends in 36 weeks
- Activity: H$22,561 |
- Predictions: 82 |
Comments: 4
Suspend date: Fri 3rd Dec 1pm PST (36 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: below $10B: 60%, between $10B and $20B: 21%, between $20B and $30B: 13%, above $30B: 5%, other (going private, etc): 1%
Action history:
Created Mon 17th Nov 2008 4:12am PST by growthy
growthy 
Suspend date: Fri 3rd Dec 1pm PST (36 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (82)
frogchop
predicted between $10B and $20B (H$500 at 38%)
void
predicted between $10B and $20B (H$50 at 41%)
predicted below $10B (H$50 at 38%)
predicted between $10B and $20B (H$50 at 34%)
predicted above $30B (H$20 at 5%)Comments (4)
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Looking at a comparison between DJIA and FSLR, the dow seems tame and boring.
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=FSLR#chart2:symbol=fslr;range=1y;compare=^dji;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined
Try this one instead.
http://tiny.cc/nnkIC
Also, assuming the stock doesn't split during the next two years, here's what the share prices would need to be to satisfy the about levels:
$10B = $123.32/share
$20B = $246.64
$30B = $369.96
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