Home Hubdub logo
 
Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

Will Michael Vick, convicted dog fighter/killer, sign with a team by kickoff 2009?

Current forecast: 43% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 43% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

A quick editorial: I think Vick is scum and deserves poverty and pain for the rest of his miserable life. From what I can tell he's only sorry he got caught, not that he did it.

Michael Vick could be out of prison by July 20, 2009, just in time for NFL's 2009 season. Will anyone sign him by the first regular season game? To quote his lawyer, he "has every reason to believe that upon his release, he will be reinstated into the NFL, resume his career and be able to earn a substantial living."

Sadly, professional sports has a history of tolerating criminal activity if it means money in the stadium, so it's possible, though given how recent this was and the short time between release and the season, I'm setting the odds low. Hope I'm right.

Some background articles:
http://www.thesmokinggun.com/archive/years/2008/1113081vick1.html?link=rssfeed
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Vick#Dog_fighting_investigations
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5hDsEKkbHNcP7laksDZz0oHhhHOwAD94ED8AG0

This asks if he'll be signed to a team by kickoff of the first regular season game of the 2009 season. Since I don't know when that will be, I'm setting the suspend date to be September 1st and it can be adjusted accordingly when the 2009 schedule is released.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

Yes
43%
No
57%
Activity: H$15,810
Question suspends in 33 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 2nd Sep 12:59am PDT (33 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Mon 17th Nov 2008 11:30am PST by gtown

Suspend date: Wed 2nd Sep 12:59am PDT (33 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (27)

27 predictions

1 week ago
philphan1 predicted No (H$50 at 59%)
2 weeks ago
andrewsteel predicted No (H$20 at 59%)
3 weeks ago
thomismydad[Power User] predicted No (H$2,500 at 57%)
4 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted No (H$1,000 at 53%)
4 weeks ago
andyfrancis predicted Yes (H$50 at 48%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 gtown
"RICHMOND, Va. (AP) -- Michael Vick put family pets in rings with pit bulls and thought it was funny watching the trained killers injure or kill the helpless dogs, a witness told federal investigators during the dogfighting investigation that brought Vick down."
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2008/football/nfl/11/22/vick.dogfighting.ap/index.html?cnn=yes
posted 6 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more