Home Hubdub logo
 
Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

What will the price of a barrel of oil be for December 2016?

Current forecast: $150.00 to $174.99 (16% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is $150.00 to $174.99 with a probability of 16% (unchanged in last 1 day)

While we always hear about the current month's price of oil on the news, there are plenty of ways of trading the distant future. Take, for example, the markets for oil prices eight years out. We'll be once again discussing a presidential election's aftermath, but what will happen in the world between now and then? How will that affect the oil market?

Contracts expire on the third Friday of the month, which would be November 18, 2016. This question suspends one week before that date.


Settlement details: The final price for the December 2016 oil contract. As of this question's creation, the price is on this page: http://www.ibtimes.com/commodities/data/quote/energies/CL/CLZ6.htm

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

$59.99 or lower
2%
$60.00 to $79.99
8%
$80.00 to $99.99
16%
$100.00 to $124.99
16%
$125.00 to $149.99
16%
$150.00 to $174.99
16%
$175.00 to $199.99
11%
$200.00 to $224.99
7%
$225.00 to $249.99
4%
$250.00 or higher
5%
Activity: H$3,148
Question suspends in 7 years

Suspend date: Fri 11th Nov 2016 3:59pm PST (7 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: $59.99 or lower: 2%, $60.00 to $79.99: 10%, $80.00 to $99.99: 20%, $100.00 to $124.99: 20%, $125.00 to $149.99: 20%, $150.00 to $174.99: 10%, $175.00 to $199.99: 8%, $200.00 to $224.99: 5%, $225.00 to $249.99: 3%, $250.00 or higher: 2%

Action history:

Created Mon 17th Nov 2008 11:37am PST by pixelpaws

Suspend date: Fri 11th Nov 2016 3:59pm PST (7 years to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (9)

9 predictions

3 weeks ago
freunited predicted $250.00 or higher (H$100 at 4%)
4 weeks ago
shans990 predicted $59.99 or lower (H$20 at 2%)
7 weeks ago
youbet predicted $250.00 or higher (H$500 at 6%)
7 weeks ago
growthy predicted $250.00 or higher (H$50 at 2%)
7 weeks ago
growthy predicted $225.00 to $249.99 (H$100 at 3%)
more

Comments (4)

I'm considering asking a question as to whether or not pixelpaws will still be alive in 2016 to settle the question. (You should have put a suspend date of 11/18/08 to seen how many PO'd comments would be left.) 2016......jeeez
posted 7 weeks ago
  2 randburg
SCI--ENCE FI--CTION, double fea--ture...
posted 7 weeks ago
@randburg
Are you implying something about Janet and the Rocky Horror Picture Show in your comment? Is this the Time Warp Again? :)
posted 7 weeks ago
  4 pixelpaws
>> 1 "I'm considering asking a question as to whether or not pixelpaws will still be alive in 2016 to settle the question"

That's really not nice. :(
posted 5 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more