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Where will the DJIA close on Tuesday, November 18, 2008?

Settled as DJIA will close between 8,400.01 and 8,500.00

DJIA closed at 8424.75

Background:

Started the week off on a down note...pretty steady most of the day, then another drop at the end of the day!

DJIA closed at 8273.58 on Monday, down 223 points to follow a 397 point loss from Friday. Surely Tuesday will be better...or not as bad!

Market suspends at 3:00 PM EST, 1 hour prior to the closing of the NYSE.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

DJIA will close at or below 8,000.00
15%
DJIA will close between 8,000.01 and 8,100.00
21%
DJIA will close between 8,100.01 and 8,200.00
18%
DJIA will close between 8,200.01 and 8,300.00
18%
DJIA will close between 8,300.01 and 8,400.00
14%
DJIA will close between 8,400.01 and 8,500.00
8%
DJIA will close between 8,500.01 and 8,600.00
4%
DJIA will close between 8,600.01 and 8,700.00
1%
DJIA will close at over 8,700.01
1%
Activity: H$11,390
Settled as DJIA will close between 8,400.01 and 8,500.00 on Tue 18th Nov 2008 1:48pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 18th Nov 2008 12pm PST Settlement date: Tue 18th Nov 2008 1:48pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 18th Nov 2008 12pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: DJIA will close at or below 8,000.00: 5%, DJIA will close between 8,000.01 and 8,100.00: 9%, DJIA will close between 8,100.01 and 8,200.00: 13%, DJIA will close between 8,200.01 and 8,300.00: 18%, DJIA will close between 8,300.01 and 8,400.00: 22%, DJIA will close between 8,400.01 and 8,500.00: 15%, DJIA will close between 8,500.01 and 8,600.00: 9%, DJIA will close between 8,600.01 and 8,700.00: 6%, DJIA will close at over 8,700.01: 3%

Action history:

Created Mon 17th Nov 2008 1:55pm PST by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Tue 18th Nov 2008 12pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'DJIA will close between 8,400.01 and 8,500.00' Tue 18th Nov 2008 1:48pm PST by bayoubear[Admin]: DJIA closed at 8424.75

Suspend date: Tue 18th Nov 2008 12pm PST Settlement date: Tue 18th Nov 2008 1:48pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 18th Nov 2008 12pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (200)

200 predictions

7 weeks ago
hubdubbob predicted DJIA will close between 8,100.01 and 8,200.00 (H$100 at 17%)
7 weeks ago
jensir predicted DJIA will close at or below 8,000.00 (H$20 at 16%)
7 weeks ago
jensir predicted DJIA will close between 8,000.01 and 8,100.00 (H$20 at 24%)
7 weeks ago
hubdubbob predicted DJIA will close between 8,000.01 and 8,100.00 (H$100 at 21%)
7 weeks ago
maniac44 predicted DJIA will close between 8,200.01 and 8,300.00 (H$100 at 18%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 petefin
Absolutely mind boggling that a 700 point spread is required with such close odds on each choice. This question deserves a place in one of the many books that will be written about the "Great Panic of 2008". Great fun though!
posted 7 weeks ago

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