Created Mon 17th Nov 2008 3:43pm PST by 
nadine_dr_computer
All questions » Politics » US Politics » nadine_dr_computer 
Will President Obama make good on his promise to end the Iraq War in 16 months from inauguration?
Current forecast: 10% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 10% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Throughout the campaign, he said repeatedly, "I will end this war," and he outlined an unconditional, sixteen-month timetable to withdraw US combat forces.
The questions is will President Obama keep his promise, will all combat forces be removed from Iraq by 1159pm May 19 2010; exactly 16 months from when he takes office.
See settlement details for exact number of troop withdrawls to count as a yes.
The questions is will President Obama keep his promise, will all combat forces be removed from Iraq by 1159pm May 19 2010; exactly 16 months from when he takes office.
See settlement details for exact number of troop withdrawls to count as a yes.
Settlement details:
In order to fulfill and be yes. The US military forces in Iraq that remain must be considered training forces not combat forces. As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Activity: H$58,519
Question suspends in 1 year
Suspend date: Wed 19th May 2010 8:59pm PDT (1 year to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%
Action history:
Created Mon 17th Nov 2008 3:44pm PST by nadine_dr_computer
nadine_dr_computer
Suspend date: Wed 19th May 2010 8:59pm PDT (1 year to go)
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Get widget!Predictions (75)
75 predictions
gabrielwest
predicted Yes (H$60 at 9%)Comments (10)
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score: 10
International Herald Tribune 1 week ago
The new security agreement with Iraq heralds an overdue end to President Bush's ill-advised war. But while it calls for U.S. combat forces to be out of the cities by June and all forces
score: 10
International Herald Tribune 2 weeks ago
cities by June 30, 2009, the deadline under a recently approved status-of-forces agreement between the United States and Iraq. The long answers open up some complicated, sleight-of-hand responses to military and political problems facing President-elect
score: 10
New York Times 2 weeks ago
all American combat troops withdraw from the major cities of Iraq? A blog looking at daily life inside Iraq, produced by The Times's Baghdad bureau. The short answers are that combat troops, defined by the military as those whose primary mission is to
score: 10
International Herald Tribune 2 weeks ago
cities by June 30, 2009, the deadline under a recently approved status-of-forces agreement between the United States and Iraq. The long answers open up some complicated, sleight-of-hand responses to military and political problems facing President-elect
score: 10
Business Day 2 weeks ago
Reuters WASHINGTON The top US military official briefed President-elect Barack Obama this week on commanders plans for troop levels in Iraq, the Pentagon said today. Pentagon press secretary Geoff Morrell would not say whether the plans matched Obamas
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"Under the Obama-Biden plan, a residual force will remain in Iraq and in the region to conduct targeted counter-terrorism missions against al Qaeda in Iraq and to protect American diplomatic and civilian personnel."
According to the plan Obama has outlined, all troops will not be removed in 16 months.
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