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Will President Obama make good on his promise to end the Iraq War in 16 months from inauguration?

Background: Throughout the campaign, he said repeatedly, "I will end this war," and he outlined an unconditional, sixteen-month timetable to withdraw US combat forces.
The questions is will President Obama keep his promise, will all combat forces be removed from Iraq by 1159pm May 19 2010; exactly 16 months from when he takes office.
See settlement details for exact number of troop withdrawls to count as a yes.

Settlement details:In order to fulfill and be yes. The US military forces in Iraq that remain must be considered training forces not combat forces. As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
8%
No
92%
Question suspends in 25 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 19th May 2010 7:59pm PST (25 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Mon 17th Nov 2008 3:44pm PST by nadine_dr_computer
Settlement requested Thu 26th Feb 9:13pm PST by Erik: Please settle as "No"
Obama says Iraq pullout by Aug 2010
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090227/ap_on_go_pr_wh/us_iraq_19

Suspend date: Wed 19th May 2010 7:59pm PST (25 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (85)

5 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Yes (H$200 at 17%)
29 weeks ago
risk predicted Yes (H$50 at 17%)
34 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 17%)
43 weeks ago
valli942 predicted Yes (H$20 at 10%)
43 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 10%)

Comments (13)

Quoted from http://www.barackobama.com/issues/iraq/

"Under the Obama-Biden plan, a residual force will remain in Iraq and in the region to conduct targeted counter-terrorism missions against al Qaeda in Iraq and to protect American diplomatic and civilian personnel."

According to the plan Obama has outlined, all troops will not be removed in 16 months.
posted 1 year ago
  2 nextpaige
Like carnacthemagnificent said, the settlement details are messed up. Obama's promise/plan was never to leave only training forces. We have troops in a ton of countries with missions going above just training. It's unrealistic to expect that a yes settlement could ever happen on the current terms; it just doesn't mesh with US policy past or present and presumably future.
posted 1 year ago
  3 destry[Admin]
Here is link to an article that gives more details - http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=akdf3aroo0JM&refer=home
posted 1 year ago
  4 dieseldog
if you read the link destry has obama gave himself plenty of wiggle room. bush warned both canidates not to make promises they couldn't keep. obama has to or should i say is pose to honor the agreement just signed. if he decides heck with that agreement he breaks a contract signed by the USA. who wants to deal with a country that don't keep their word-breaks contracts.
posted 1 year ago
  5 curios
TELL me what poly does not by circumstance, not have to BEND a few rules on the way ?
posted 1 year ago
  6 dieseldog
curios - i agree all "polys" bend the rules. obama's problem is the leftwing-anti war folks. if he don't have a MAJOR withdraw of troops in 16 months they will go ballistic.
posted 1 year ago
  7 dieseldog
curios - did you run dragonfang off tonight? i miss him :O(
posted 1 year ago
  8 curios
NO chuckles is still around lets be honest we love him really!!!!?
posted 1 year ago
the left wing anti war folks can go ballistic if they want, they are completely powerless and will vote for obama anyway in 2012. That's if they even exist.
posted 1 year ago
  10 dieseldog
i'd say the exsist. cindy sheehan ran aginest pelosi. their not powerful enough to beat obama in a campain, but they can cause him a headache. Buchanan ran againest bush sr with little chance of winning. it still caused bush sr to spend money..and to defend his right. the left could do the same to obama.
posted 1 year ago
Huge participation from women and Sunni Arabs in Iraq elections
http://www.gulfnews.com/region/Iraq/10280783.html

Baghdad: Iraqis went to polls on Saturday to vote in the country's provincial elections, with a massive participation from Sunni Arabs and women
posted 42 weeks ago
Nobody is going to challenge the Messiah, so deal.
posted 41 weeks ago
  13 Erik
Obama says Iraq pullout by Aug 2010
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090227/ap_on_go_pr_wh/us_iraq_19
posted 38 weeks ago

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