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Will Kentucky inmate receive additional jail time for escaping?

Current forecast: 70% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 70% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

21-year old inmate Chad Toy escaped from jail on November 18. According to Toy, "It was a spur of the moment decision. I saw an open door and just ran through it. I am sorry about what I did. If I had it to do over again, I would have never run out the door."

What makes this story unusual is that Toy willingly returned to jail later that day. Jailer Bill Adams said that it was the first time in his 14 years working at the jail that he saw an escaped convict willingly return.

Toy is currently serving a four-year sentence and is awaiting trial on other charges.

Additional information:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/27787120/from/ET/


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Suspend date may be extended.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
70%
No
30%
Activity: H$2,280
Question suspends in 3 years

Suspend date: Sun 18th Nov 2012 3:59pm PST (3 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 70%

Action history:

Created Tue 18th Nov 2008 4:44pm PST by onedave[Power User]

Suspend date: Sun 18th Nov 2012 3:59pm PST (3 years to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (21)

21 predictions

2 days ago
yulianna23 predicted Yes (H$20 at 70%)
2 weeks ago
kingmeng83 predicted No (H$100 at 31%)
3 weeks ago
spodocommodo predicted No (H$20 at 30%)
3 weeks ago
chippy5 predicted Yes (H$50 at 70%)
3 weeks ago
davidmorris452 predicted Yes (H$100 at 70%)
more

Comments (1)

He must have missed the fine cuisine.
posted 3 weeks ago

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