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When will the Large Hadron Collider be switched on again?

Current forecast: June 2009 (56% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is June 2009 with a probability of 56% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Fixing the world's largest atom smasher will cost at least £14 million and may take until early in the Northern Hemisphere summer, its operator CERN said. An electrical failure shut down the Large Hadron Collider on September 19, nine days after the £3.6 billion machine started up with great fanfare.

The European Organisation for Nuclear Research recently said that the repairs would be completed by May or early June. Spokesman James Gillies said the organisation know as CERN is now estimating the restart will be at the end of June or later. "If we can do it sooner, all well and good. But I think we can do it realistically (in) early summer," he said.

The organisation has blamed the shutdown on the failure of a single, badly soldered electrical connection.

Read the full The Independent article here.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Due to the unreliability of announcements about when it will be fixed, the question will settle when the LHC is actually turned on again. No need for high energy collisions, just being switched on.

 
Forecast history, %
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Before May 2009
3%
May 2009
3%
June 2009
56%
July 2009
19%
August 2009
8%
September 2009
5%
Not by 1 October 2009
6%
Activity: H$21,042
Question suspends in 37 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 2nd Oct 12:59am PDT (37 weeks to go)
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Predictions (106)

106 predictions

1 day ago
carlbeeth predicted July 2009 (H$50 at 18%)
1 day ago
carlbeeth predicted June 2009 (H$100 at 57%)
1 day ago
carlbeeth predicted May 2009 (H$50 at 3%)
1 day ago
mcchaff predicted July 2009 (H$500 at 14%)
1 day ago
deadonjenny predicted August 2009 (H$100 at 8%)
more

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