Created Tue 18th Nov 2008 8:49pm PST by 
iceaxe5
All questions » Science » Natural Disasters » iceaxe5 
Will there be a major epidemic of Rift Valley fever in Kenya, Somalia, and Tanzania by March 2009?
Current forecast: 6% chance 
3%
3%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 6% likely to happen (down 3% in last 1 day)
Kenya is reportedly on a warning posture for Rift Valley fever due to flooding
http://www.afriquenligne.fr/news/africa-news/kenya-braces-for-imminent-outbreak-of-rift-valley-fever-2008111315889.html
http://www.eastandard.net/InsidePage.php?id=1143999245&cid=159
http://www.alertnet.org/thefacts/satelliteimages/12259670086.htm
http://www.afriquenligne.fr/news/africa-news/kenya-braces-for-imminent-outbreak-of-rift-valley-fever-2008111315889.html
http://www.eastandard.net/InsidePage.php?id=1143999245&cid=159
http://www.alertnet.org/thefacts/satelliteimages/12259670086.htm
Settlement details:
As reported by the World Health Organization.
For the purposes of settlement, a 'major epidemic' will be an outbreak that is described as an 'epidemic' on the WHO website
Make your prediction!
| Yes |
| ||||
| No |
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Activity: H$1,702
Question suspends in 11 weeks
Suspend date: Tue 31st Mar 4:59pm PDT (11 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%
Action history:
Created Tue 18th Nov 2008 8:49pm PST by iceaxe5
iceaxe5
Changed Settlement info Wed 19th Nov 2008 4:48pm PST by 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
tisha: show details ... by the World Health Organization. <br/> For the purposes of settlement, a 'major epidemic' will be an outbreak that is described as an 'epidemic' on the WHO website
Suspend date: Tue 31st Mar 4:59pm PDT (11 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (7)
7 predictions
mrperfkt
predicted Yes (H$300 at 8%)
constable1664
predicted Yes (H$10 at 5%)Comments (1)
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score: 10
People's Daily Online 21 hours ago
Province in north China after a 19-year-old woman died from bird flu virus in Beijing on Monday. No epidemic outbreak has been reported in northern China at present. (Xinhua/Liu Haifeng
score: 10
Reuters 3 days ago
GENEVA (Reuters) - Zimbabwe's cholera epidemic is picking up speed, with a total of 1,732 deaths out of 34,306 cases, the World Health Organization (WHO) said on Tuesday. A cholera update dated January 5
score: 10
Reuters Canada 3 days ago
GENEVA (Reuters) - Zimbabwe's cholera epidemic is picking up speed, with a total of 1,732 deaths out of 34,306 cases, the World Health Organization (WHO) said on Tuesday. A cholera update dated January 5
score: 10
Channel 4 News 4 days ago
A cholera epidemic that has killed more than 1,600 people in Zimbabwe could get worse as the rainy season peaks. The World Health Organisation said last week that cholera had killed 1
score: 10
Telegraph 4 days ago
of entomology at Wyoming University and author of Six-legged Soldiers: Using Insects as Weapons of War, said such Rift Valley Fever or other diseases could be transported into a country by a terrorist with a suitcase. He told BBC Radio 4's Today
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For the purposes of settlement, a 'major epidemic' will be an outbreak that is described as an 'epidemic' on the WHO website
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