Created Tue 18th Nov 2008 9:35pm PST by
reverend_right

Which African country will the Obama administration attack first?
Background: Last month, the United States Africa Command (AFRICOM) became operational, meaning there are now 1300 people whose responsibility is for planning and executing military operations in the African theater.
It is estimated by some in the US intelligence community that the US will import 25% of its oil from Africa by 2015 (that number is currently 15%). Along with other rare natural resources present in Africa, this means the continent will likely become increasingly important to the growth and survival of the American empire in coming years.
A place like Sudan, for example, offers an opportunity for the incoming administration , as it has billions of barrels of oil reserves, a significant Muslim population, and also harbors a well-known humanitarian crisis that would put a human face on any intervention, silencing much of what opposition may exist. This may not be the best example as intervening in Sudan would raise major issues with China, but it goes to show that the many conflicts and problems in Africa would likely provide sufficient cover if an imperial intervention is considered expedient.
It is estimated by some in the US intelligence community that the US will import 25% of its oil from Africa by 2015 (that number is currently 15%). Along with other rare natural resources present in Africa, this means the continent will likely become increasingly important to the growth and survival of the American empire in coming years.
A place like Sudan, for example, offers an opportunity for the incoming administration , as it has billions of barrels of oil reserves, a significant Muslim population, and also harbors a well-known humanitarian crisis that would put a human face on any intervention, silencing much of what opposition may exist. This may not be the best example as intervening in Sudan would raise major issues with China, but it goes to show that the many conflicts and problems in Africa would likely provide sufficient cover if an imperial intervention is considered expedient.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. An incident involving Somali pirates will not count. Any attack under the flags of the UN or NATO involving the U.S. military will count.
| Nigeria |
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| Sudan |
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| Somalia |
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| Kenya |
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| Angola |
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| Zimbabwe |
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| Guinea |
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| Libya |
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| Other |
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| None |
|
Question suspends in 7 years
- Activity: H$40,950 |
- Predictions: 122 |
Comments: 5
Suspend date: Fri 20th Jan 2017 11:59pm PST (7 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: Nigeria: 20%, Sudan: 15%, Somalia: 15%, Kenya: 8%, Angola: 8%, Zimbabwe: 5%, Guinea: 3%, Libya: 5%, Other: 5%, None: 16%
Action history:
Created Tue 18th Nov 2008 9:35pm PST by
reverend_right
Suspend date: Fri 20th Jan 2017 11:59pm PST (7 years to go) details
Predictions (122)
Comments (5)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
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have exceeded the 50 characters limit! Your E-mail: You have exceeded the 200 characters limit! Country: please choose Afghanistan Aland Albania Algeria American Samoa Andorra Angola Anguilla Antarctica Antigua & Barbuda Argentina Armenia Aruba Ascension
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or do we have to have the cash tied up for 8 years.
US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has warned that the US will "take action" against Eritrea if it does not stop supporting militants in Somalia. She said after talks with Somali President Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed in Kenya's capital, Nairobi, that Eritrea's actions were "unacceptable". She also said the US would expand support for Somalia's unity government. Eritrea denies supporting Somalia's al-Shabab militants, who are trying to overthrow Somalia's government. Al-Shabab is growing in strength and 250,000 Somalis have fled their homes in fighting between militants and government forces over the past three months.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/8186781.stm
Aug. 7 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said a suicide plot in Australia allegedly linked to Somali militants is a reminder of the global threat posed by terrorists using Somalia as a training ground. Five people were charged this week with planning to attack an army barracks in western Sydney with automatic weapons in a plot prosecutors say is linked to the Somali Islamist militia al-Shabaab.
“This week in Australia we have been reminded that there are those who would use Somalia as a training ground for attacks around the world,” Clinton told reporters in Kenya after meeting with Somali President Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed. Al-Shabaab sees Somalia as a “future haven for global terrorism,” she said yesterday. The Islamist militia is fighting to oust the United Nations-backed Somali government and controls much of southern Somalia. The group was designated a terrorist organization last year by the U.S., which accuses it of providing logistical support for al-Qaeda. “If al-Shabaab were to obtain a haven in Somalia, which could then attract al-Qaeda and other terrorist actors, it would be a threat to the United States,” Clinton said, according to a State Department transcript.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601081&sid=aKBGv.tTNHZE
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