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Will HP have a bigger market cap than IBM by the end of 2010?

Current forecast: 20% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 20% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

HP to buy EDS for $12.6 bln in challenge to IBM

Owning EDS, one of the pioneers of the outsourcing of managed computer services, would vault HP to second place in the global technology services industry, behind International Business Machines Corp. Analysts said the merged company would be better-equipped to go after large clients and cap costs.

Neither EDS nor HP, however, are strong in the high-end consulting business that is a strong suit of IBM, they said.

http://commerce.in.reuters.com/mobile/m/FullArticle/p.dskssl/eIN/CDEALIN/ninnovationNews_uINN1230539620080513

HP Market Cap: $82.16B
IBM Market Cap: $107.58B

(Nov 19, 2008)

Will Hewlett-Packard Company (HPQ) have a bigger market cap than International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) by the end of 2010?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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Yes
20%
No
80%
Activity: H$2,347
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 4am PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Wed 19th Nov 2008 5:21am PST by growthy

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 4am PST (1 year to go)
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Predictions (26)

26 predictions

4 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted No (H$20 at 79%)
4 weeks ago
zarjay predicted No (H$20 at 79%)
5 weeks ago
linx0003 predicted Yes (H$20 at 21%)
6 weeks ago
pixelpaws predicted No (H$50 at 79%)
6 weeks ago
bookie predicted No (H$50 at 79%)
more

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