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Skeleton - Who will win the FIBT 2008-09 Men's World Cup?

Current forecast: Kristan Bromley (GBR) or Florian Grassl (GER) (27% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Kristan Bromley (GBR) or Florian Grassl (GER) with a probability of 27% (unchanged in last 1 day)

The defending champion is Briton Kristan Bromley.

Starting percentages were based on last season's final standings and this season's standings.

Additional information:
http://www.fibt.com/index.php?id=177&L=0


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Kristan Bromley (GBR) or Florian Grassl (GER)
27%
Jon Montgomery (CAN) or Markus Penz (AUT)
22%
Zach Lund (USA) or Adam Pengilly (GBR)
17%
Eric Bernotas (USA) or Sebastian Haupt (GER)
12%
Martins Dukurs (LAT) or Anthony Sawyer (GBR)
7%
Other
15%
Activity: H$40
Question suspends in 9 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 18th Mar 4pm PDT (9 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Kristan Bromley (GBR) or Florian Grassl (GER): 27%, Jon Montgomery (CAN) or Markus Penz (AUT): 22%, Zach Lund (USA) or Adam Pengilly (GBR): 17%, Eric Bernotas (USA) or Sebastian Haupt (GER): 12%, Martins Dukurs (LAT) or Anthony Sawyer (GBR): 7%, Other: 15%

Action history:

Created Wed 19th Nov 2008 3:38pm PST by onedave[Power User]

Suspend date: Wed 18th Mar 4pm PDT (9 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (2)

2 predictions

3 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted Martins Dukurs (LAT) or Anthony Sawyer (GBR) (H$20 at 7%)
4 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted Kristan Bromley (GBR) or Florian Grassl (GER) (H$20 at 27%)

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