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Skeleton - Who will win the FIBT 2008-09 Women's World Cup?

Current forecast: Katie Uhlaender (USA) or Michelle Steel (AUS) (28% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Katie Uhlaender (USA) or Michelle Steel (AUS) with a probability of 28% (unchanged in last 1 day)

The defending champion is American Katie Uhlaender.

Starting percentages were based on last season's final standings and this season's standings.

Additional information:
http://www.fibt.com/index.php?id=177&L=0


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Katie Uhlaender (USA) or Michelle Steel (AUS)
28%
Michelle Kelly (CAN) or Marion Trott (GER)
21%
Melissa Hollingsworth (CAN) or Emma Lincoln-Smith
17%
Kerstin Szymkowiak (GER) or Amy Williams (GER)
12%
Anja Huber (GER) or Carla Pavan (CAN)
7%
Other
15%
Activity: H$140
Question suspends in 6 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 26th Feb 6am PST (6 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Katie Uhlaender (USA) or Michelle Steel (AUS): 27%, Michelle Kelly (CAN) or Marion Trott (GER): 22%, Melissa Hollingsworth (CAN) or Emma Lincoln-Smith : 17%, Kerstin Szymkowiak (GER) or Amy Williams (GER): 12%, Anja Huber (GER) or Carla Pavan (CAN): 7%, Other: 15%

Action history:

Created Wed 19th Nov 2008 3:44pm PST by onedave[Power User]

Suspend date: Thu 26th Feb 6am PST (6 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (3)

3 predictions

3 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted Kerstin Szymkowiak (GER) or Amy Williams (GER) (H$20 at 12%)
4 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted Anja Huber (GER) or Carla Pavan (CAN) (H$20 at 7%)
7 weeks ago
sdchargers[Power User] predicted Katie Uhlaender (USA) or Michelle Steel (AUS) (H$100 at 28%)

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