Created Thu 20th Nov 2008 7:55am PST by

Will the German 'Cardboard Box Escapee' be caught before Christmas?

Settled as Yes

As of Dec 7, it was being reported by German media that he was back in custody.
http://www.posttip.de/News/22916/Flucht-per-Paket-Straefling-wieder-gefasst.html (German)

Background:

Background: The hunt is widening for a convicted drug dealer who escaped from prison in Germany in a cardboard box. German police say they are planning to issue an international arrest warrant unless he is found soon.

The 37-year-old Turkish national hid in a cardboard box that was later taken away for recycling by a courier firm. The inmate was serving a seven-year sentence in Willich prison, near the town of Dusseldorf, and was due out in 2011. More on Yahoo News

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

32%

68%

Settled as Yes on Sat 27th Dec 2008 8:13am PST

Activity: H$27,986
Predictions: 48
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Sun 21st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 27th Dec 2008 8:13am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 7th Dec 2008 3am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Thu 20th Nov 2008 7:55am PST by

nigeleccles [Admin]

Suspended Sun 21st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Fri 26th Dec 2008 6:59pm PST by

bernardo Level 14, Prophet (H$249,646)

: Seems like he's back in prison. The only source i could find is a citation of "Rheinische Post" (in German): http://www.posttip.de/News/22916/Flucht-per-Paket-Straefling-wieder-gefasst.html

Settled as 'Yes' Sat 27th Dec 2008 8:13am PST by

infernalmachine [Power User]

: As of Dec 7, it was being reported by German media that he was back in custody.
http://www.posttip.de/News/22916/Flucht-per-Paket-Straefling-wieder-gefasst.html (German)

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Predictions (48)

45 weeks ago

maputo Level 1, Newbie (H$36)

predicted No (H$50 at 76%)

45 weeks ago

andrewdb Level 5, Predictor (H$1,905)

predicted Yes (H$100 at 24%)

45 weeks ago

shojun Level 13, Psychic (H$60,777)

predicted No (H$500 at 76%)

45 weeks ago

keyeshoveden [Power User]

predicted No (H$2,000 at 74%)

45 weeks ago

curios predicted No (H$3,000 at 70%)

Comments (1)

olbg

"he climbed into the box which was then taken away along with a number of other boxes by the courier firm." You would have thought that they might have noticed it was a little heavy?!

And then they have to watch their footy team lose to England - what a day!

posted 50 weeks ago

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