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Will the German 'Cardboard Box Escapee' be caught before Christmas?

Settled as Yes

As of Dec 7, it was being reported by German media that he was back in custody.
http://www.posttip.de/News/22916/Flucht-per-Paket-Straefling-wieder-gefasst.html (German)

Background:

The hunt is widening for a convicted drug dealer who escaped from prison in Germany in a cardboard box. German police say they are planning to issue an international arrest warrant unless he is found soon.

The 37-year-old Turkish national hid in a cardboard box that was later taken away for recycling by a courier firm. The inmate was serving a seven-year sentence in Willich prison, near the town of Dusseldorf, and was due out in 2011. More on Yahoo News


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
32%
No
68%
Activity: H$27,986
Settled as Yes on Sat 27th Dec 2008 8:13am PST

Suspend date: Sun 21st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 27th Dec 2008 8:13am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 7th Dec 2008 3am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Thu 20th Nov 2008 7:55am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Suspended Sun 21st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 26th Dec 2008 6:59pm PST by bernardo: Seems like he's back in prison. The only source i could find is a citation of "Rheinische Post" (in German): http://www.posttip.de/News/22916/Flucht-per-Paket-Straefling-wieder-gefasst.html
Settled as 'Yes' Sat 27th Dec 2008 8:13am PST by infernalmachine[Admin]: As of Dec 7, it was being reported by German media that he was back in custody.
http://www.posttip.de/News/22916/Flucht-per-Paket-Straefling-wieder-gefasst.html (German)

Suspend date: Sun 21st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 27th Dec 2008 8:13am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 7th Dec 2008 3am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (48)

48 predictions

2 weeks ago
maputo predicted No (H$50 at 76%)
2 weeks ago
andrewdb predicted Yes (H$100 at 24%)
2 weeks ago
shojun predicted No (H$500 at 76%)
2 weeks ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted No (H$2,000 at 74%)
2 weeks ago
curios predicted No (H$3,000 at 70%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 olbg
"he climbed into the box which was then taken away along with a number of other boxes by the courier firm." You would have thought that they might have noticed it was a little heavy?!

And then they have to watch their footy team lose to England - what a day!
posted 7 weeks ago

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