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Who will be Yahoo's next CEO? [updated candidates]

Current forecast: Other (33% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Other with a probability of 33% (unchanged in last 1 day)

As TechCrunch put it, now Jerry Yang is out Silicon Valley's favorite parlor game is to predict who's going to be Yahoo's next CEO. It seems everyone from the New York Times to the Daily Beast has a view. Helpfully Silicon Alley Insider has pulled together a list of their viewpoints.

TechCrunch is also running a poll on who readers think should get the top job.


Settlement details: This market will be settled on Yahoo's announcement of whom they have selected as their next CEO.

 
Forecast history, %
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Current top options (scroll down for all options)

Other
33%
Tim Armstrong
12%
Dan Rosensweig
12%
Marc Andreesen
12%
Jeff Jordan
6%
Jonathan Miller
6%
Susan Decker
5%
Peter Chernin
4%
Meg Whitman
4%
Kevin Johnson
3%
Activity: H$6,615
Question suspends in 24 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 1st Jul 12:59am PDT (24 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Marc Andreesen: 18%, Tim Armstrong: 15%, Jeff Jordan: 9%, Dan Rosensweig: 8%, Jonathan Miller: 6%, Meg Whitman: 6%, David Rosenblatt: 4%, Peter Chernin: 4%, Kevin Johnson: 4%, Susan Decker: 4%, Jeff Mallett: 1%, Frank Biondi: 1%, John Chapple: 1%, Maggie Wilderotter: 1%, Other: 18%

Action history:

Created Thu 20th Nov 2008 8:41am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Thu 1st Jan 2:45am PST by tomg[Admin]: was: "2008-12-31 23:59:00"
Unsuspended Thu 1st Jan 2:45am PST by tomg[Admin]: No decision yet.

Suspend date: Wed 1st Jul 12:59am PDT (24 weeks to go)
more info...

 

All options

Dan Rosensweig
12%
David Rosenblatt
3%
Frank Biondi
1%
Jeff Jordan
6%
Jeff Mallett
1%
John Chapple
1%
Jonathan Miller
6%
Kevin Johnson
3%
Maggie Wilderotter
1%
Marc Andreesen
12%
Meg Whitman
4%
Other
33%
Peter Chernin
4%
Susan Decker
5%
Tim Armstrong
12%

Predictions (42)

42 predictions

5 days ago
dwlt predicted Jonathan Miller (H$50 at 5%)
5 weeks ago
camicalm predicted Other (H$100 at 27%)
5 weeks ago
camicalm predicted Jonathan Miller (H$100 at 16%)
5 weeks ago
warrickt predicted Dan Rosensweig (H$100 at 19%)
5 weeks ago
tisha[Admin] predicted Dan Rosensweig (H$500 at 14%)
more

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