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How many letters will there be in the official name of NASA's next Mars rover?

Current forecast: Seven or eight (27% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Seven or eight with a probability of 27% (unchanged in last 1 day)

On November 18, NASA announced the naming contest for the next Mars rover. The rover, currently called the Mars Science Laboratory, is scheduled to launch on October 8, 2009.

US school children will be allowed to submit essays before January 25. On or around March 22, 2009, NASA will name nine finalists, three from each of three grade ranges. The public will then have a week to comment on the finalists. The winning name will be announced on or around April 16.

The first three rovers were named in similar contests. The winning names were Sojourner, Spirit and Opportunity.

Additional information:
http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/mars/news/msl-20081118.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_Science_Laboratory
http://marsrovername.jpl.nasa.gov/


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Six or less
26%
Seven or eight
27%
Nine or ten
25%
Eleven or more
21%
Activity: H$1,295
Question suspends in 13 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 15th Apr 10pm PDT (13 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Six or less: 25%, Seven or eight: 25%, Nine or ten: 25%, Eleven or more: 25%

Action history:

Created Thu 20th Nov 2008 3:55pm PST by onedave[Power User]

Suspend date: Wed 15th Apr 10pm PDT (13 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (14)

14 predictions

1 week ago
clarky predicted Six or less (H$100 at 27%)
4 weeks ago
cheese predicted Eleven or more (H$20 at 21%)
6 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted Eleven or more (H$20 at 21%)
6 weeks ago
aland predicted Nine or ten (H$20 at 25%)
6 weeks ago
tisha[Admin] predicted Eleven or more (H$50 at 21%)
more

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