tarpash
Will the "unnamed sources" be correct in projecting President Elect Obama's cabinet?
Hillary Clinton- Secretary of State
Eric Holder- AG
Janet Napolitano- Secretary of Homeland Security
Tom Daschle- Secretary of Health & Human Services
How accurate will these predictions turn out to be? Will Obama end up officially picking these people for his initial cabinet? Obama must nominate these individiduals for the specific positions listed next to their name for the "unnamed sources" to be correct.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
| All 4 are correct |
| |||
| 2 or 3 are correct |
| |||
| 0 or 1 are correct/other outcome |
|
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 9am PST Settlement date: Thu 11th Dec 2008 10:09am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 11th Dec 2008 10am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: All 4 are correct: 45%, 2 or 3 are correct: 45%, 0 or 1 are correct/other outcome: 10%
Action history:
tarpash 
bobdevine
: Looks like all 4 rumors were true.
http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/national/1110ap_obama_appointees.html
bobdevine: The 4th name was just verified when Obama nominated Daschle.
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/O/OBAMA_DASCHLE?SITE=WAYAK&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 9am PST Settlement date: Thu 11th Dec 2008 10:09am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 11th Dec 2008 10am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (28)
28 predictions
notablenotices![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted 2 or 3 are correct (H$5 at 7%)
curios
jenniandboys
predicted 2 or 3 are correct (H$50 at 6%)
lcsnor
predicted 2 or 3 are correct (H$25 at 4%)
predicted All 4 are correct (H$1 at 95%)
cici
predicted All 4 are correct (H$50 at 71%)
rogi
keyeshoveden
eric_s_stacy
coolkraft
chullComments (2)
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