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What will the lowest close be for the TSX in the remainder of 2008?

Settled as Above 7500

The lowest closing was namely on Nov 20, when the question was created - 7724.7598

After that TSX hasn't close below 8000.

Background:

What will the lowest close be for the Toronto Stock Exchange for the rest of the year of 2008, after 11/20/08? (Note: intraday lows do not count)

Closing price on 11/20 was 7724.76


Settlement details: As reported by Google Finance - <a href="http://finance.google.ca/finance?q=TSE:.GSPTSE">http://finance.google.ca/finance?q=TSE:.GSPTSE<;/a>

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Above 7500
99%
7000-7500
0%
6500-7000
0%
6000-6500
0%
5500-6000
0%
5000-5500
0%
4500-5000
0%
4000-4500
0%
Below 4000
0%
Activity: H$28,058
Settled as Above 7500 on Thu 1st Jan 8:55am PST

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59am PST Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 8:55am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Above 7500: 5%, 7000-7500: 15%, 6500-7000: 20%, 6000-6500: 20%, 5500-6000: 15%, 5000-5500: 10%, 4500-5000: 5%, 4000-4500: 5%, Below 4000: 5%

Action history:

Created Fri 21st Nov 2008 2:37am PST by andrewpmk
Changed Question text Fri 21st Nov 2008 8:01am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: ... be for the TSX in the remainder of 2008?
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 1st Jan 1:18am PST by orlin: Above 7500

The lowest closing was namely on Nov 20q when the question was created - 7724.7598

After that TSX hasn't close below 8000.

http://ca.finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5EGSPTSE

http://finance.alphatrade.com/quotes/history?s=CA%3BTSEA
Settled as 'Above 7500' Thu 1st Jan 8:55am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: The lowest closing was namely on Nov 20, when the question was created - 7724.7598

After that TSX hasn't close below 8000.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59am PST Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 8:55am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (12)

12 predictions

1 week ago
jonica predicted Above 7500 (H$200 at 75%)
1 week ago
gtown predicted Above 7500 (H$450 at 74%)
1 week ago
gtown predicted Above 7500 (H$1,000 at 70%)
3 weeks ago
gtown predicted Above 7500 (H$100 at 66%)
4 weeks ago
growthy predicted 7000-7500 (H$100 at 18%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 bayoubear[Admin]
Trying to settle this but cannot find a site that shows me that the TSX was at 7724 anytime during 2008.

Indications are that at no time did the TSX close 7500, in fact, the site referenced above didn't have it closing below 8000...

Will settle tomorrow just in case someone else can provide any different info...seems like an obvious settlement, but just want to be sure!
posted 1 week ago

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