thisson
What will be the fate of Citigroup (NYSE: C)?
Citi is still independent and now is trading around $7.50 a share, well up from its lows in mid-November
Background:
Source:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=arsOx8GtZ7Uo&refer=home
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Question will suspend at the end of the year, although I suspect that we will know the answer well before that.
Settled
| Citi raises enough capital to remain independent |
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| Citi goes bust (Bankruptcy, closed/sold by FDIC ) |
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| Citibank merges with Goldman Sachs |
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| Citibank merges with Morgan Stanley |
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| Citibank merges with Wells Fargo |
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| Citibank merges with JP Morgan Chase |
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| Citibank merges with HSBC |
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| Citibank merges with UBS |
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| Citibank merges with Bank of America |
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| Citibank merges w/ other (BNY, State Street, etc) |
|
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 12:59pm PST Settlement date: last Wednesday 2:52am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 12:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Citi raises enough capital to remain independent: 5%, Citi goes bust (Bankruptcy, closed/sold by FDIC ): 5%, Citibank merges with Goldman Sachs: 15%, Citibank merges with Morgan Stanley: 10%, Citibank merges with Wells Fargo: 10%, Citibank merges with JP Morgan Chase: 15%, Citibank merges with HSBC: 10%, Citibank merges with UBS: 10%, Citibank merges with Bank of America: 10%, Citibank merges w/ other (BNY, State Street, etc): 10%
Action history:
thisson 
keyeshoveden![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: I think this can be settled now? 
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Citi is still independent and now is trading around $7.50 a share, well up from its lows in mid-November
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 12:59pm PST Settlement date: last Wednesday 2:52am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 12:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (23)
23 predictions
donal
predicted Citi raises enough capital to remain independent (H$100 at 62%)
thepeoplegeekllc
predicted Citi raises enough capital to remain independent (H$200 at 65%)
pita_soup
predicted Citi raises enough capital to remain independent (H$100 at 64%)
capt_chaos
predicted Citibank merges w/ other (BNY, State Street, etc) (H$20 at 1%)Comments (1)
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