capecodviking
Will India find water or ice on the Moon?
No news of the Indian probe finding H2O in any form by suspend date.
Background:
Wikipedia explains that the probe "was deliberately crashed into the south pole... [on November 14]... releasing subsurface debris that could be analyzed by the orbiter for presence of water ice"
The European Space Agency's Infrared Space Observatory reported in 2001 observations that suggest water is more abundant in space than previously thought.
http://www.isro.gov.in/Chandrayaan/htmls/mip.htm
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moon_Impact_Probe
http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/astronomy/milkyway_water_010412.html
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. May be H2O in any form.
Settled
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
Suspend date: Mon 15th Dec 2008 3:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 18th Dec 2008 12:48am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 15th Dec 2008 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%
Action history:
capecodviking 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: ... a major mainstream news source. May be H2O in any form. 
orlin
: Suspend date reached, no reports of discovery of water in any form on the Moon. 
deanthoreau
: If you look at http://www.isro.org/
The India Space Research Organization Indias equivalent to NASA..you will see they have not even gotten additional pictures since the landing on November 14
and no water has been reported as found
enough is enough let's settle this
tisha: No news of the Indian probe finding H2O in any form by suspend date.
Suspend date: Mon 15th Dec 2008 3:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 18th Dec 2008 12:48am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 15th Dec 2008 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (77)
77 predictions
predicted No (H$100 at 89%)
predicted No (H$100 at 89%)
veaney
predicted No (H$129 at 89%)
predicted Yes (H$20 at 11%)
tata
nikolausi
pita_soup
bernardo
predicted No (H$200 at 84%)
predicted No (H$5 at 79%)Comments (4)
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capecodviking
25 settled, 11 voided
That would include even a report of "trace amounts" of water. 30-46ppm were detected in rocks collected from the sunny surface in Apollo missions... ought to do a bit better in a shaded polar crater...
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