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How many rail trips will Washington's Metro provide on Inauguration Day 2009?
Current forecast: Between 1,000,001 and 1,300,000 (32% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Between 1,000,001 and 1,300,000 with a probability of 32% (unchanged in last 1 day)
On January 20, 2009, Barack Obama will be inaugurated as President of the United States. The crowd is expected to be more than 1.5 million. Washington mayor Adrian Fenty anticipates between 3 and 5 million spectators.
The Washington Metro is planning to carry about 1.6 million passengers. However, this figure includes both rail and bus passengers. The current record was set on July 11, 2008, when 854,638 rail trips were made. On that day, a Washington Nationals game and a religious conference both took place. Since June 20, there have been at least three days where ridership exceeded 829,000. The record for an inauguration was about 811,000 in 1993. Average daily ridership is 750,000 rail trips and 450,000 bus trips.
Metro plans to have rush-hour service from 4:00 am until 7:00 pm and remain open until 2:00 am. Normal weekday hours are 5:00 until midnight, with rush-hour service from 5:00 am until 9:30 am and 3:00 pm until 7:00 pm.
Additional information:
http://www.wmata.com/inauguration/
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/11/20/AR2008112002427.html
http://www.ajc.com/services/content/printedition/2008/11/21/polbriefs.html
The Washington Metro is planning to carry about 1.6 million passengers. However, this figure includes both rail and bus passengers. The current record was set on July 11, 2008, when 854,638 rail trips were made. On that day, a Washington Nationals game and a religious conference both took place. Since June 20, there have been at least three days where ridership exceeded 829,000. The record for an inauguration was about 811,000 in 1993. Average daily ridership is 750,000 rail trips and 450,000 bus trips.
Metro plans to have rush-hour service from 4:00 am until 7:00 pm and remain open until 2:00 am. Normal weekday hours are 5:00 until midnight, with rush-hour service from 5:00 am until 9:30 am and 3:00 pm until 7:00 pm.
Additional information:
http://www.wmata.com/inauguration/
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/11/20/AR2008112002427.html
http://www.ajc.com/services/content/printedition/2008/11/21/polbriefs.html
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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854,638 or less |
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Between 854,639 and 1,000,000 |
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Between 1,000,001 and 1,300,000 |
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Between 1,300,001 and 1,600,000 |
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Between 1,600,001 and 1,900,000 |
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1,900,001 or more |
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Activity: H$862
Question suspends in 1 week
Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 1am PST (1 week to go)
Initial likelihoods: 854,638 or less: 2%, Between 854,639 and 1,000,000: 25%, Between 1,000,001 and 1,300,000: 35%, Between 1,300,001 and 1,600,000: 16%, Between 1,600,001 and 1,900,000: 16%, 1,900,001 or more: 6%
Action history:
Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 1am PST (1 week to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (13)
13 predictions
cheese
predicted 1,900,001 or more (H$20 at 7%)
predicted Between 1,300,001 and 1,600,000 (H$13 at 20%)
jhouseholder
predicted Between 854,639 and 1,000,000 (H$5 at 24%)
predicted Between 1,300,001 and 1,600,000 (H$20 at 20%)
letmewinplees
predicted Between 1,300,001 and 1,600,000 (H$100 at 19%)
growthy
rogi
predicted Between 854,639 and 1,000,000 (H$100 at 26%)
lcsnor
predicted 1,900,001 or more (H$50 at 6%)Comments (0)
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score: 10
NetworkWorld 1 day ago
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score: 10
Philadelphia Inquirer 1 week ago
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score: 10
Washington Post 1 week ago
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