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Will the release of the BNP membership list result in an attack on a BNP household?

Settled as No

There was one published firebomb attack, which predates the creation of this question thus does not count. There have not been further published attacks of BNP members in mainstream media sources.

Background:

Are the mainstream press willing to humanise members of the BNP by portraying them as victims?

From http://aidanmaconachyblog.blogspot.com/2008/11/british-national-party-membership-list.html

Thousands of members of the far right British National Party (BNP) are living in fear of exposure after a disgruntled member posted the entire membership list online.

The list has about 10,000 names and includes home addresses, phone numbers and email addresses. Many of these people are 'faceless' members of the BNP in the sense that their standing in the community could be adversely effected if their affiliations become known. The racist reputation of the BNP isn't exactly compatible with public service.

The membership list includes occupations regarded as sensitive, such as doctor, nurse, scientist, engineer, company director, journalist, priest. Names of police personnel have also shown up on the list.

There doesn't appear to much leeway when it comes to legal recourse. According to a lawyer interviewed by the London Times, outed members won't be able to sue either the party or the leaker. The lawyer acknowledged it was a breach of data protection law but said the legal remedies were weak.

According to BNP leader Nick Griffin, the leaking of the membership list was deliberate, coming as it does just before the European Parliament elections.

As for those on the list who are in panic mode ... tough! If people decide to sign up as members of fascist or far right parties, their community has a right to know. When people go to the doctor or dentist or file a report with a cop, most would like to believe they aren't dealing with a racist or worse.

Even the UK's tabloid press that can be big on the jingoism and flag waving, have little time for the BNP. The Sun had a front page headline that lampooned the party as Bloody Nasty People.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source in the UK.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
13%
No
87%
Activity: H$27,916
Settled as No on Tue 2nd Dec 2008 1:56am PST

Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 2008 4:05pm PST Settlement date: Tue 2nd Dec 2008 1:56am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 30th Nov 2008 4:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sat 22nd Nov 2008 10:16am PST by bustab
Changed Description Mon 24th Nov 2008 6:32pm PST by tisha[Admin]: show details
... by portraying them as victims??<br/> <br/> From <a href='http://aidanmaconachyblog.blogspot.com/2008/11/british-national-party-membership-list.html'>http://aidanmaconachyblog.blogspot.com/2008/11/british-national-party-membership-list.html</a><br/> <br/> Thousands of members of the far right British National Party (BNP) are living in fear of exposure after a disgruntled member posted the entire membership list online.<br/> <br/> The list has about 10,000 names and includes home addresses, phone numbers and email addresses. Many of these people are 'faceless' members of the BNP in the sense that their standing in the community could be adversely effected if their affiliations become known. The racist reputation of the BNP isn't exactly compatible with public service.<br/> <br/> The membership list includes occupations regarded as sensitive, such as doctor, nurse, scientist, engineer, company director, journalist, priest. Names of police personnel have also shown up on the list.<br/> <br/> There doesn't appear to much leeway when it comes to legal recourse. According to a lawyer interviewed by the London Times, outed members won't be able to sue either the party or the leaker. The lawyer acknowledged it was a breach of data protection law but said the legal remedies were weak.<br/> <br/> According to BNP leader Nick Griffin, the leaking of the membership list was deliberate, coming as it does just before the European Parliament elections.<br/> <br/> As for those on the list who are in panic mode ... tough! If people decide to sign up as members of fascist or far right parties, their community has a right to know. When people go to the doctor or dentist or file a report with a cop, most would like to believe they aren't dealing with a racist or worse.<br/> <br/> Even the UK's tabloid press that can be big on the jingoism and flag waving, have little time for the BNP. The Sun had a front page headline that lampooned the party as Bloody Nasty People.
Suspended Sun 30th Nov 2008 4:05pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 1st Dec 2008 12:57am PST by keyeshoveden[Power User]: I have not read of any of these. It's difficult to prove a negative.
Settled as 'No' Tue 2nd Dec 2008 1:56am PST by tisha[Admin]: There was one published firebomb attack, which predates the creation of this question thus does not count. There have not been further published attacks of BNP members in mainstream media sources.

Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 2008 4:05pm PST Settlement date: Tue 2nd Dec 2008 1:56am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 30th Nov 2008 4:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (16)

16 predictions

5 weeks ago
deanthoreau predicted No (H$500 at 87%)
5 weeks ago
deanthoreau predicted No (H$50 at 86%)
5 weeks ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted No (H$10,000 at 82%)
5 weeks ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted No (H$5,000 at 74%)
6 weeks ago
melange predicted Yes (H$50 at 29%)
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Comments (1)

racism in in britain? surely u jest.... *snorts*
If they are ashamed to be a member of the party perhaps they should just cover their faces with bedsheets like Americans do
posted 5 weeks ago

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