Created Sat 22nd Nov 2008 10:51am PST by 
bigken1
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » bigken1 
How will Obama's cabinet choice: Eric Holder's confirmation proceedings for attorney general go?
Current forecast: Holder questioned re Rich pardon, confirmed (94% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Holder questioned re Rich pardon, confirmed with a probability of 94% (unchanged in last 1 day)
A pardon brokered by Eric Holder for Mr Rich (named appropriately) was pushed through (and we can understand why). Now that we are not viewing wealthy people (as Mr Rich) so favorably, this question deals with how congress will deal with this question related to Eric Holder. Of course Pres. Elect Obama is in a honeymoon period now.
Here is info from the article cited below. The billionaire was Marc Rich, a commodities trader, and his pardon is a subject of discussion again because Eric Holder, Mr. Clintons deputy attorney general at the time and a key figure in the clemency process, is reported to be Barack Obamas choice for attorney general. In the years since the Rich pardon, Mr. Holder has said he “never devoted a great deal of time to this matter.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/22/opinion/22lardner.html
Here is info from the article cited below. The billionaire was Marc Rich, a commodities trader, and his pardon is a subject of discussion again because Eric Holder, Mr. Clintons deputy attorney general at the time and a key figure in the clemency process, is reported to be Barack Obamas choice for attorney general. In the years since the Rich pardon, Mr. Holder has said he “never devoted a great deal of time to this matter.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/22/opinion/22lardner.html
Settlement details:
Suspend date whenever confirmation hearing starts, or jan 20, whichever is first. voided if Holder not nominated for AG. As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Holder not questioned re Rich pardon not confirmed |
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Holder questioned re Rich pardon, confirmed |
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Holder questioned re Rich pardon, not confirmed |
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Activity: H$12,960
Question suspends in 1 week
Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)
Initial likelihoods: Holder not questioned re Rich pardon, confirmed: 15%, Holder not questioned re Rich pardon not confirmed: 15%, Holder questioned re Rich pardon, confirmed: 50%, Holder questioned re Rich pardon, not confirmed: 20%
Action history:
Created Sat 22nd Nov 2008 10:51am PST by bigken1
bigken1
Changed Description Sat 22nd Nov 2008 2:36pm PST by 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
destry: show details ... to this matter.<br/> <br/> <a href="</> <a href="http://www.nytimes.
Changed Description Sat 22nd Nov 2008 2:36pm PST by destry: show details
destry: show details ... again because Eric Holder, Mr. Clinton’sClintons deputy attorney general at the ... is reported to be Barack Obama’sObamas choice for attorney general. In ... , Mr. Holder has said he ““never devoted a great deal of time to this matter.â€<.<br/> <br/> <a href="< ... /22/opinion/22lardner.html</a>"><>"><a href="http://www.nytimes. ... /11/22/opinion/22lardner.html<%3C">http://www.nytimes.com/2008 ... /22/opinion/22lardner.html<</;</a>;/a>>
Changed Description Sat 22nd Nov 2008 2:37pm PST by destry: show details
destry: show details ... /22/opinion/22lardner.html</a>"><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/22/opinion/22lardner.html%3C">http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/22/opinion/22lardner.html<</a>;/a>>
Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (27)
27 predictions
thetexas
predicted Holder questioned re Rich pardon, not confirmed (H$100 at 5%)
coolkraft
predicted Holder questioned re Rich pardon, confirmed (H$100 at 90%)
bobdevine
guruzilla
predicted Holder questioned re Rich pardon, confirmed (H$20 at 73%)
predicted Holder questioned re Rich pardon, confirmed (H$100 at 72%)
pixelpaws
jhouseholder
gman77
lcsnor
predicted Holder not questioned re Rich pardon, confirmed (H$56 at 10%)
capecodviking
raidersin09
predicted Holder questioned re Rich pardon, confirmed (H$100 at 71%)
predicted Holder questioned re Rich pardon, confirmed (H$50 at 71%)
jenniandboys
predicted Holder not questioned re Rich pardon, confirmed (H$100 at 9%)
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growthyComments (2)
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score: 10
New York Times 22 hours ago
WASHINGTON - A leading Republican senator issued a broad attack on Tuesday on President-elect Barack Obamas pick as attorney general, Eric H. Holder Jr., questioning his political independence. The latest on the presidential transition and other
score: 10
ABC News 1 day ago
afternoon raised the level of his rhetoric in questioning the 'character' of President-elect Obama?s nominee to be Attorney General, Eric Holder. Specter suggested that he?s concerned that Holder would be too much like former Attorneys General Harry
score: 10
New York Times 1 day ago
WASHINGTON ? A leading Republican senator issued a broad attack Tuesday on President-elect Obamas pick as attorney general, Eric H. Holder Jr., and questioned the nominees political independence in advance of Mr. Holders confirmation hearing next week.
score: 10
New York Times 1 day ago
WASHINGTON ? A leading Republican senator issued a broad attack Tuesday on President-elect Obamas pick as attorney general, Eric H. Holder Jr., and questioned the nominees political independence in advance of Mr. Holders confirmation hearing next week.
score: 10
MSNBC 1 day ago
- In the much praised career of Eric H. Holder Jr., President-elect Barack Obama?s choice to be attorney general, there is one notable blemish: Mr. Holder?s complicated role in the 2001 pardon of Marc Rich, a billionaire financier who had fled the
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