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Who will fill Hillary Clinton's Senate seat?
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Background:
A year ago, then Lieutenant Governor David Patterson was likely hoping to assume Hillary's spot after she was elected president. Now, Governor Patterson is faced with a dramatically different situation. Although not leaving for the position she was initially angling for, it now appears that she will accept the Secretary of State offer and it is Patterson's job to pick her replacement. He's already gotten dozens of offers for the spot, but who will he decide on?
There are complicated politics to consider here, as Patterson tries to strengthen his own re-election bid for 2010 as well as solidify the democratic control of the state's national representatives. Whoever he names will have to face a special election in 2010, as well as a regular election in 2012 -- Republicans will be eager to pick off a weak candidate in one of these face-offs.
KIRSTEN E. GILLIBRAND A first-term congresswoman whose district covers parts of 10 upstate counties.
ANDREW M. CUOMO The state attorney general is called an “obvious choice” for a Senate seat. But “he loves getting things done” in his current role, an associate says.
BYRON W. BROWN Since 2006, Buffalo’s first black mayor, and before that a New York state senator.
CAROLINE KENNEDY Played influential roles in Barack Obama’s campaign, but is considered a long shot for the Senate.
NITA LOWEY A 10-term member of Congress, she spoke at the Democratic National Convention in August.
ADOLFO CARRIÓN JR. The Bronx borough president is Hispanic, which is said to be a factor in the governor’s thinking.
BRIAN HIGGINS A congressman from the Buffalo area.
NYDIA VELAQUEZ another hispanic candidate, and also female to boot.
BILL CLINTON technically legal, but unlikely.
There are complicated politics to consider here, as Patterson tries to strengthen his own re-election bid for 2010 as well as solidify the democratic control of the state's national representatives. Whoever he names will have to face a special election in 2010, as well as a regular election in 2012 -- Republicans will be eager to pick off a weak candidate in one of these face-offs.
KIRSTEN E. GILLIBRAND A first-term congresswoman whose district covers parts of 10 upstate counties.
ANDREW M. CUOMO The state attorney general is called an “obvious choice” for a Senate seat. But “he loves getting things done” in his current role, an associate says.
BYRON W. BROWN Since 2006, Buffalo’s first black mayor, and before that a New York state senator.
CAROLINE KENNEDY Played influential roles in Barack Obama’s campaign, but is considered a long shot for the Senate.
NITA LOWEY A 10-term member of Congress, she spoke at the Democratic National Convention in August.
ADOLFO CARRIÓN JR. The Bronx borough president is Hispanic, which is said to be a factor in the governor’s thinking.
BRIAN HIGGINS A congressman from the Buffalo area.
NYDIA VELAQUEZ another hispanic candidate, and also female to boot.
BILL CLINTON technically legal, but unlikely.
Settlement details:
As announced by Governor Patterson's office. If Hillary does not accept the position and thus her seat is still full, the market will be voided.
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Kristen Gillibrand |
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Andrew Cuomo |
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Byron Brown |
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Caroline Kennedy |
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Nita Lowey |
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Adolfo Carrion |
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Brian Higgins |
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Nydia Velazquez |
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Bill Clinton |
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Activity: H$193,950
Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended
Suspend date: Yesterday 11:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods: Kristen Gillibrand: 6%, Andrew Cuomo: 25%, Byron Brown: 6%, Caroline Kennedy: 4%, Nita Lowey: 7%, Adolfo Carrion: 10%, Brian Higgins: 6%, Nydia Velazquez: 10%, Bill Clinton: 1%, Other: 25%
Action history:
Suspended Yesterday 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspend date: Yesterday 11:59pm PST
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (750)
750 predictions
ole10589
predicted Caroline Kennedy (H$50 at 78%)
predicted Byron Brown (H$11 at 9%)
mikeo7b3
predicted Caroline Kennedy (H$20 at 78%)
kingknowit
predicted Bill Clinton (H$3,000 at 12%)
lcsnor
predicted Other (H$100 at 7%)
predicted Caroline Kennedy (H$50 at 84%)
adammccormicksComments (59)
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score: 10
Wall Street Journal Online 4 weeks ago
Susan Davis reports on politics. The jockeying to replace Hillary Clinton in the U.S. Senate is looking more like a game of checkers compared to the allegedly pay-to-play tactics Democratic Gov. Rod Blagojevich is accused of using to fill
score: 10
MSNBC 4 weeks ago
Clinton?s Senate seat? Dec. 8: NBC?s Andrea Mitchell talks about the speculation that Caroline Kennedy is going after Hillary Clinton's vacant Senate seat. Morning Joe Video: Capitol Hill Dec. 8: Louisiana elects the first
score: 10
CNBC 4 weeks ago
WASHINGTON - New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg gave a boost to Caroline Kennedy as a possible Senate candidate, saying she is experienced and 'can do anything.''Caroline Kennedy is a very experienced woman, she's worked very hard for the city. I
score: 10
NewsMax.com 4 weeks ago
WASHINGTON -- New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg gave a boost to Caroline Kennedy as a possible Senate candidate, saying she is experienced and 'can do anything.' 'Caroline Kennedy is a very experienced woman, she's worked very hard for the city. I
score: 10
San Jose Mercury News 4 weeks ago
'Caroline Kennedy is a very experienced woman, she's worked very hard for the city. I can just tell you she's made an enormous difference in New York City
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94% of previous questions settled successfully
280 settled, 18 voided
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280 settled, 18 voided
http://www.whec.com/article/stories/S673621.shtml?cat=566
http://www.wktv.com/explorepolitics/34896039.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/22/nyregion/22york.html?_r=1&em
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2008/11/22/cuomo-favored-hillary-clintons-senate-seat/
http://www.newsday.com/services/newspaper/printedition/saturday/longisland/ny-pojani225937504nov22,0,837742.story
It does say under settlement details that his market is predicated on Hillary resigning her seat to take the Secretary of State position. So if you're betting that she will not take the job, then you should probably just let this market pass you by...
http://www.hubdub.com/m22626/Will_President_Elect_Obama_announce_any_major_cabinet_appointments_this_week_Nov_17th__Nov_21st
That means the scramble begins to replace Clinton on Capitol Hill. Among those mentioned to take her seat as New York's junior senator is her husband, former President Bill Clinton".
"In an op-ed column last week in The Washington Post, journalists Karl Meyer and Shareen Blair Brysac urged Paterson to "send Bill Clinton to the Senate."
If that happened, Clinton would become the third former president to go from the White House to Capitol Hill".
- CNN http://edition.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/12/01/clinton.replacement/index.html?iref=mpstoryview
........strolls out singing.. me n my shadow...........
Former President Bill Clinton has no interest in replacing his wife in the U.S. Senate, his spokesman said, adding any speculation that he would be interested is "completely false."
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/12/02/bill.clinton.senate/
this article is newsworthy for the content of interested parties
Have you ever spent time with people from Montauk and Buffalo in the same room? To the residents of Manhattan, Westchester County is upstate! To the residents of Oswego, Brooklyn might as well be another country. New York State contains such geographic, economic, ideological and environmental diversity that balancing the state's concerns can be as tough as balancing the nation's.
http://www.newsday.com/news/opinion/ny-opfocus5954329dec07,0,4704818.story
*Deck the Halls with lots of liberals... Fa laLaLaLa...LaLaLaLa!!!!*
A January 2008 Executive Order signed by President Bush during Hillary Clinton's current Senate term increased the salary for Secretary of State, thereby rendering Senator Clinton ineligible for the position.
there IS no party of 'pureness'. there is only shifting public perception and the hope it will turn up somewhere.
destry & diesel....You're correct:
S. J. Res. 46
this message was brought to you by the committee of people who wish dragonfang would return to HD.
Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY): Let's start with the fact that Hillary Clinton is constitutionally ineligible to serve as Secretary of State in the Obama administration. According to the Ineligibility Clause of the United States Constitution, no member of Congress can be appointed to an office that has benefited from a salary increase during the time that Senator or Representative served in Congress. A January 2008 Executive Order signed by President Bush during Hillary Clinton's current Senate term increased the salary for Secretary of State, thereby rendering Senator Clinton ineligible for the position. (Congressional "fixes" do not address the constitutional issue. Her appointment would be in violation of the U.S. Constitution.) And then, of course, there is the long history of corrupt behavior that follows Hillary wherever she goes, including Chinagate, Filegate, pardons for terrorists, pardons for cash (for her brothers), White House fundraising coffees, Whitewater, Travelgate lies, doing business with the State of Arkansas while her husband was governor, Web Hubbell, smear campaigns, false financial disclosure forms, John Huang, Chinese generals, the Lippo Group, paid sleepovers in the Lincoln Bedroom, cattle futures fraud, and stealing White House furniture. (This corruption is still going strong. In 2008, Hillary also received an illegal foreign campaign contribution in the form of a fundraising concert by music icon Elton John.)
From the link provided:
"No Senator or Representative shall, during the time for which he was elected, be appointed to any civil office under the authority of the United States, which shall have been created, or the emoluments whereof shall have been increased during such time"
Public Policy Polling Shows Princess Of Camelot Losing Grip On New Yorkers, Falls Behind 20 Points Among Dems
NEW YORK (CBS) Caroline Kennedy appears to be losing momentum in her bid for Hillary Clinton's U.S. Senate seat. A new survey conducted by Public Policy Polling shows 58 percent of voters would prefer to see Gov. David Paterson appoint state Attorney General Andrew Cuomo to the seat. That's compared to Kennedy's 27 percent.
Among Democratic voters, Cuomo leads by about 20 points. That's about the same lead Kennedy enjoyed just a month earlier. This revelation seems to fly in the face of various reports that have surfaced since the calendar turned to 2009. Sources close to Gov. Paterson have said repeatedly that Kennedy is close to being named as Clinton's successor. Paterson has said the search is ongoing, but on New Year's Day he cautioned everyone vying for the position by saying whoever is chosen to replace Clinton will have to earn re-election in 2010 on his or her own merits.
http://wcbstv.com/politics/caroline.kennedy.us.2.900585.html
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