Created Sat 22nd Nov 2008 3:07pm PST by buckeyetom

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Will meteorite fragments be found from the Nov. 20th Canadian sighting by 12/1/08?

LLOYDMINSTER, Alberta (AP) — Scientists said Friday they had found remains of a meteor that illuminated the sky before falling to earth in western Canada earlier this month.

University of Calgary scientist Alan Hildebrand and graduate student Ellen Milley found several meteor fragments near the Battle River along the rural Alberta-Saskatchewan border, near the city of Lloydminster late Thursday.
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5h3sZQRXJE_Nb4nKhJUa99E2f1GngD94O8C4O0
http://www.canada.com/reginaleaderpost/news/story.html?id=4d92286c-6f85-4ae0-8154-b755e7b3ae79

Background:

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Will meteorite fragments be found from the Nov. 20th Canadian sighting by 12/1/08?

    Yes

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Forecast history, %

   Zoom in

Settled

	Yes	29%
	No	71%

Activity: H$29,024

Settled as Yes on Sat 29th Nov 2008 1:43pm PST

Suspend date: Fri 28th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 29th Nov 2008 1:43pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 28th Nov 2008 3:45pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sat 22nd Nov 2008 3:07pm PST by buckeyetom

Changed Description Sat 22nd Nov 2008 4:01pm PST by jenniandboys: show details

... found by Dec. 1st, 2008. <.<br/> <a href="http://news. ... /nm/20081121/sc_nm/us_meteor</a> <><br/> <a href="http://www. ... .yahoo.com/s/991567</a>><br/> <object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/e_2aX-784sw&hl=en&fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/e_2aX-784sw&hl=en&fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object><br/>

Suspended Fri 28th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sat 29th Nov 2008 6:49am PST by sharon91977: http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/world/2008/11/29/vo.sk.meteor.fragments.ctv?iref=videosearch

video @ cnn.com - meteor fragments found by scientist.

Settled as 'Yes' Sat 29th Nov 2008 1:43pm PST by tisha: LLOYDMINSTER, Alberta (AP) — Scientists said Friday they had found remains of a meteor that illuminated the sky before falling to earth in western Canada earlier this month.

University of Calgary scientist Alan Hildebrand and graduate student Ellen Milley found several meteor fragments near the Battle River along the rural Alberta-Saskatchewan border, near the city of Lloydminster late Thursday.
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5h3sZQRXJE_Nb4nKhJUa99E2f1GngD94O8C4O0
http://www.canada.com/reginaleaderpost/news/story.html?id=4d92286c-6f85-4ae0-8154-b755e7b3ae79

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Suspend date: Fri 28th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 29th Nov 2008 1:43pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 28th Nov 2008 3:45pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (56)

56 predictions

5 weeks ago

gtown predicted Yes (H$100 at 49%)

5 weeks ago

gtown predicted Yes (H$100 at 48%)

5 weeks ago

fourgrays predicted Yes (H$50 at 50%)

5 weeks ago

unisus34 predicted Yes (H$20 at 50%)

5 weeks ago

fourgrays predicted Yes (H$1,495 at 48%)

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5 weeks ago

gtown predicted Yes (H$100 at 49%)

5 weeks ago

gtown predicted Yes (H$100 at 48%)

5 weeks ago

fourgrays predicted Yes (H$50 at 50%)

5 weeks ago

unisus34 predicted Yes (H$20 at 50%)

5 weeks ago

fourgrays predicted Yes (H$1,495 at 48%)

5 weeks ago

fourgrays predicted Yes (H$15 at 46%)

5 weeks ago

constable1664 predicted Yes (H$100 at 45%)

5 weeks ago

arki predicted No (H$400 at 70%)

5 weeks ago

opie predicted No (H$50 at 70%)

5 weeks ago

jogo predicted Yes (H$20 at 30%)

5 weeks ago

dragon01 predicted Yes (H$20 at 30%)

5 weeks ago

dragon01 predicted Yes (H$150 at 30%)

5 weeks ago

dragon01 predicted Yes (H$200 at 29%)

5 weeks ago

dragon01 predicted Yes (H$20 at 29%)

5 weeks ago

fourgrays predicted No (H$20 at 71%)

5 weeks ago

exilpat predicted Yes (H$50 at 29%)

5 weeks ago

subreal predicted No (H$1,000 at 70%)

5 weeks ago

dragon01 predicted No (H$20 at 69%)

5 weeks ago

frank2877 predicted No (H$1,000 at 69%)

6 weeks ago

raidersin09 predicted No (H$250 at 68%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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Comments (3)

  1 buckeyetom

http://www.yahoo.com/s/991567 Click for a good video of the meteor.

posted 6 weeks ago

  2 frank2877

How can they possibly identify the fragment as being from "that" meteorite? The Earth get pelted by these things all the time although not quite so visibly. So some farmer finds a fragment of a meteorite, will this settle as yes?

posted 6 weeks ago

  3 buckeyetom

They have their ways and solely taking farmer Brown's word for it is not one of them. Frank, go to this site for a forensic link to how a sighting in 2002 was handled in Alberta, Canada. It appears easier for impact points to be identified there. http://www.cbc.ca/health/story/2002/11/28/meteorite021128.html

posted 6 weeks ago

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