Created Sat 22nd Nov 2008 6:12pm PST by 
capecodviking
All questions » Politics » US Politics » capecodviking 
Will Congress tell Bush that he is not to pardon his staff?
Current forecast: 21% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 21% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
House Resolution 1531 was introduced Nov. 20, 2008 by Jerrold Nadler (D-NY). This is the first resolution (I suspect there will be others) urging President Bush not to pardon senior officials of his administration for any crimes he allegedly authorized. It also urges Congress to investigate those crimes and any pardons relating to those crimes, and urges the Attorney General (current or future) to appoint an Independent Counsel to prosecute those crimes. What this question is asking is whether any resolution urging Bush not to pardon senior administration officials will be passed by this Congress?
This question is not asking whether the president will sign it, or whether it will be significantly amended before voting on, only whether a majority of congress will vote for this resolution or one similarly asking Bush not to pardon senior administrative officials for crimes that he authorized.
This question is not asking whether the president will sign it, or whether it will be significantly amended before voting on, only whether a majority of congress will vote for this resolution or one similarly asking Bush not to pardon senior administrative officials for crimes that he authorized.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Activity: H$9,735
Question suspends in 1 week
Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 6am PST (1 week to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%
Action history:
Created Sat 22nd Nov 2008 6:12pm PST by capecodviking
capecodviking
Changed Description Sat 22nd Nov 2008 10:44pm PST by 
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
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destry: show details ... officials of his administration for any crimes that he
Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 6am PST (1 week to go)
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Get widget!Predictions (18)
18 predictions
owlcreekobserver
predicted No (H$100 at 79%)
shackleford
predicted Yes (H$20 at 21%)
raidersin09
predicted No (H$1,000 at 78%)
notablenotices![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted No (H$5 at 77%)
cjg999
predicted No (H$100 at 78%)
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shojun
predicted No (H$500 at 78%)
bout3fitty
jenniandboys
predicted No (H$100 at 77%)
growthy
robamichael
predicted No (H$143 at 70%)
curiosComments (4)
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score: 10
Houston Chronicle 5 days ago
? Lyndon B. Johnson: 960 pardons, 226 commutations in 62 months ? Richard Nixon: 863 pardons, 60 commutations in 67 months ? Gerald Ford: 382 pardons, 22 commutations in 29 months ? Jimmy Carter: 534 pardons, 29 commutations in 48 months ?
score: 10
Los Angeles Times 1 week ago
Reporting from Washington In an apparently unprecedented move, President Bush on Wednesday revoked a pardon he had issued 24 hours earlier for a politically connected real estate developer who defrauded hundreds of low- income home buyers --
score: 10
Boston Globe 1 week ago
WASHINGTON - President Bush yesterday revoked a pardon he had issued just 24 hours earlier for a politically connected real estate developer who defrauded hundreds of low-income home buyers - acknowledging that White House aides had not fully
score: 10
NPR 2 weeks ago
When it comes to clemency, presidents have absolute power; Congress and the courts cannot overrule them. President Bush issued more pardons Tuesday, and now there's intense speculation that he might issue last-minute pardons to officials of his own
score: 10
CNN 2 weeks ago
President granted pardons Tuesday to 19 citizens charged with a variety of crimes, but none was prominent. Presidential pardon lists are being closely monitored in the final weeks of the Bush administration, particularly to see whether former vice
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capecodviking
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to authorize a particular crime should not count against his staff, for an oversight on Bush's part.
Pardon my ignoration too, and all my other such stuff, whatever.
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