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UFC- Who will be the next Welterweight champion?

Current forecast: BJ Penn (36% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is BJ Penn with a probability of 36% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Georges St. Pierre is the current champ. He is #2 on most peoples' pound-for-pound list.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. mmafrenzy.com, sherdog.com, and ufc.com are good sources.

 
Forecast history, %
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BJ Penn
36%
Thiago Alves
16%
Diego Sanchez
12%
Josh Koscheck
12%
Matt Hughes
12%
Other
12%
Activity: H$1,170
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Tue 23rd Nov 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: BJ Penn: 20%, Thiago Alves: 20%, Diego Sanchez: 15%, Josh Koscheck: 15%, Matt Hughes: 15%, Other: 15%

Action history:

Created Sun 23rd Nov 2008 3:27am PST by pulloverthatasstoophat

Suspend date: Tue 23rd Nov 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (5)

5 predictions

1 week ago
sadam predicted BJ Penn (H$20 at 36%)
3 weeks ago
pulloverthatasstoophat predicted BJ Penn (H$1,000 at 28%)
6 weeks ago
hoosierdaddy predicted Other (H$20 at 15%)
6 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted Diego Sanchez (H$5 at 15%)
6 weeks ago
pulloverthatasstoophat predicted BJ Penn (H$100 at 21%)

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