Created Sun 23rd Nov 2008 5:31am PST by
curios
All questions » Politics » Other Politics » 
WILL Conrad Black win his appeal for release ?
Current forecast: 16% chance

Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 16% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Former media tycoon Conrad Black is appealing to US President George W Bush to commute his prison sentence for fraud and obstruction of justice.
Black, a Canadian-born member of the UK's House of Lords, has been in prison since March, serving a sentence of six and a half years.
The US justice department confirmed it had received the appeal and said it would be considered in the normal way.
Mr Bush has the power to issue a pardon and reduce a prison sentence or fine.
The US Pardon Attorney, Ronald Rogers, will investigate and review the appeal, and make recommendations to the president.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7743069.stm
Black, a Canadian-born member of the UK's House of Lords, has been in prison since March, serving a sentence of six and a half years.
The US justice department confirmed it had received the appeal and said it would be considered in the normal way.
Mr Bush has the power to issue a pardon and reduce a prison sentence or fine.
The US Pardon Attorney, Ronald Rogers, will investigate and review the appeal, and make recommendations to the president.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7743069.stm
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Activity: H$27,505
Question suspends in 4 weeks
Suspend date: Sat 7th Feb 7:59am PST (4 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Sun 23rd Nov 2008 5:31am PST by
curios
Suspend date: Sat 7th Feb 7:59am PST (4 weeks to go)
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Predictions (32)
32 predictions
Comments (0)
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score: 10
TheStar.com.my 5 days ago
Conrad and David?s counsel Zahir Shah had raised doubts in the prosecution?s case. After hearing the appeal by the prosecution on Dec 17, Justice Rahman ruled that the magistrate had gravely misdirected himself
score: 10
National Post 1 week ago
obstruction of justice as former head of Hollinger International. After exhausting all court proceedings, Black made one final appeal - for a pardon from outgoing President George W. Bush. Just before Christmas, Bush pardons 19 felons, but Black is not
score: 10
Bet.com 1 week ago
Iraqi High Judicial Council to delay the trial, which was supposed to begin today. ?Due to a legal appeal presented by defendant Muntazer al-Zaidi?s lawyers to the Federal Appeal Court, the case has been referred to this court for study,? the
score: 10
Arab News 1 week ago
reporter who threw his shoes at US President George W. Bush in Baghdad has been postponed pending an appeal over whether the incident amounted to an assault, his lawyer said yesterday. TV journalist Muntadar Al-Zeidi is charged with assault against a
score: 10
ABC News 1 week ago
fear of delay, those seeking clemency often attempt an end-run around the Department of Justice with a direct appeal to the president. Such an appeal usually requires a well-connected attorney who has the ability to get the attention of the White House
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