
Will VP Cheney and/or former AG Gonzalez be found guilty of prisoner abuse in Texas?
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081202/ap_on_re_us/cheney_indicted
Background:>
From BBC News: "The indictment says Mr Cheney - who has invested $85m (£56m) in a company that holds shares in for-profit prisons - conspired to block an investigation.
The indictment has not been seen by a judge, who could dismiss it....The grand jury wrote that it made its decision 'with great sadness,' but said they had no other choice but to indict Mr Cheney and Mr Gonzales 'because we love our country.'
Several other related indictments were brought against a host of public officials in what one lawyer called a circus act by the outgoing prosecutor, Mr Guerra, who he said was seeking revenge in his final weeks in office. "
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7737093.stm
http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5i_r4sNiBm3b6BEWO0ThrI36n7NBg
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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neither Cheney nor Gonzalez convicted |
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Gonzalez convicted but not Cheney |
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Cheney convicted but not Gonzalez |
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both convicted |
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Suspend date: Thu 15th Jan 11:59pm PST (1 week to go) Settlement date: Wed 3rd Dec 2008 12:55am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Dec 2008 9:20pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: neither Cheney nor Gonzalez convicted: 85%, Gonzalez convicted but not Cheney: 5%, Cheney convicted but not Gonzalez: 5%, both convicted: 5%
Action history:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081202/ap_on_re_us/cheney_indicted (market suspended)
Suspend date: Thu 15th Jan 11:59pm PST (1 week to go) Settlement date: Wed 3rd Dec 2008 12:55am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Dec 2008 9:20pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (16)
16 predictions
Comments (0)
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