Will the Dow Stay over 7000 in 2008?

Suspend date: Wed 24th Dec 2008 6pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 9:02am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 24th Dec 2008 6pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 53%

Action history:

Created Sun 23rd Nov 2008 9:21pm PST by drzinternet

Changed Description Mon 24th Nov 2008 4:02am PST by bayoubear: show details

... ThisAnother question isasks if the oppositeDow of: <br/> <awill href="http://www.hubdub.com/m18696/Will_the_DOW_go_under_7000_points_by_the_end_of_the_year">http://www.hubdub.com/m18696/Will_the_DOW_go_under_7000_points_by_the_end_of_the_year</a> <br/> howeverdrop below 7000, that questionbut suspends onin Novembera 30thfew days. This question looks at the same topic in the opposite way and will take us through December ... to be settled as NO. IIt willdoes benot basingrequire the initialmarket likelihoodto uponclose thebelow above7000. <br/> <br/> SUSPENDS referencedon question.Christmas Eve.....Merry Christmas!

Changed Settlement info Mon 24th Nov 2008 4:02am PST by bayoubear: show details

... reported by <&lt;a href="<a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/">http://www.marketwatch.com/</a>"><a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/&lt">http://www.marketwatch.com/&lt</a>;/a>

Changed Suspend date Mon 24th Nov 2008 4:02am PST by bayoubear: was: "2008-12-26 07:00:00"

Suspended Tue 25th Nov 2008 8:23am PST by bayoubear: Suspend until the other form of this question suspends on 11/30/08. This one will reopen on 12/1/08 and run until its suspension date.

Changed Description Wed 26th Nov 2008 4:33am PST by bayoubear: show details

... 7000. <br/> <br/> SUSPENDS on ChristmasDecember Eve.....Merry Christmas!24th.

Changed Settlement info Wed 26th Nov 2008 4:33am PST by bayoubear: show details

... by &lt;a href="&lt;a href="<a href=" ... http://www.marketwatch.com/&lt</a>;/a>">&lt;a href="<a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/&lt">http://www.marketwatch.com/&lt</a>;"><a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/&lt">http://www.marketwatch.com/&lt</a>;&lt;/a>;/a>

Unsuspended Mon 1st Dec 2008 11:22am PST by bayoubear: Previous market has suspended...this one is now reopened.

Suspended Wed 24th Dec 2008 6pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 1st Jan 1:56am PST by orlin: No.

http://finance.google.com/finance/historical?q=INDEXDJX:.DJI

Settlement requested Thu 1st Jan 7:25am PST by crowe: please settle as yes. DOW did not drop below 7,000 since creation of market.

Settled as 'Yes' Thu 1st Jan 9:02am PST by bayoubear: DJIA never dropped below 7000 during 2008...

Lowest point was:
Open High Low Close
20-Nov-08 7,995.53 8,187.40 7,506.97 7,552.29
and
21-Nov-08 7,552.37 8,071.75 7,449.38 8,046.42

hide

Suspend date: Wed 24th Dec 2008 6pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 9:02am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 24th Dec 2008 6pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details